NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	107		Excitement	9.3 [92]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +9.3%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	5.5 [264]		LVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): -22.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	18	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.10
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	16	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.01	6	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.05
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	16	55%	0.06	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	71%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.23,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	16	60%	0.30	4	-0.26	10	90%	0.06
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.16	4	-0.19	3	67%	-0.01
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.00	8	53%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.01	16	60%	0.08	6	-0.21	3	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	11	38%	-0.17	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	28.6	16.3	33.6	1.7	37.1	145.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +11.4%

SAC -13.9%

UTA +0.5%

UTA +50.2%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.5	110.3	107.2	105.7
season	15.9	14.9		106.4	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.3		107.7	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.0	15.9	14.5	14.2	14.9
SAC	14.4	13.5	14.8	16.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	73	73	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.52	6	-3	9	15.0	14.6	0.44	14.8	14.5	0.31
Deron Williams	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-1	5	14.3	17.3	-2.92	14.9	14.2	0.77
Al Jefferson	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-2	7	14.1	17.5	-3.40	14.9	14.1	0.80
Paul Millsap	58	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-5	13	14.4	15.7	-1.25	15.5	13.5	1.99
Earl Watson	30	30	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	-4	11	17.8	13.6	4.17	16.5	14.0	2.50
Raja Bell	81	80	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	4	-5	14.2	18.6	-4.44	14.0	18.2	-4.13
Gordon Hayward	17	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-1	5	14.4	15.0	-0.61	13.5	15.0	-1.47
CJ Miles	31	30	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.25	-7	10	-17	15.6	14.6	0.97	14.0	15.1	-1.07
Ronnie Price	5	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	18.4	14.7	3.67	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Jeremy Evans	2	2	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	8	-13	14.0	14.9	-0.94	12.5	14.8	-2.32
Kyrylo Fesenko	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	5	-7	16.9	13.8	3.08	14.2	15.1	-0.85

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	62	62	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.05	6	-9	15	14.1	15.9	-1.74	15.1	14.5	0.59
Luther Head	18	18	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-6	9	14.1	14.9	-0.88	17.1	14.4	2.69
Donte Greene	27	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-3	3	13.5	15.3	-1.79	17.2	14.0	3.19
Pooh Jeter	20	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	0	-3	14.5	14.8	-0.28	17.9	14.1	3.82
Carl Landry	16	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	14.9	14.7	0.20	18.2	14.3	3.92
Jason Thompson	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-5	7	15.0	14.3	0.71	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Omri Casspi	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	14.9	14.4	0.46	14.1	17.0	-2.98
Beno Udrih	81	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	1	-5	14.9	14.4	0.48	14.3	18.1	-3.73
Samuel Dalembert	46	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	4	-11	15.3	14.3	0.93	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Tyreke Evans	77	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.41	-6	3	-9	15.2	12.9	2.30	13.9	19.0	-5.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,0	93.1%
NJN 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	92.1%
OKC 92, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.68,0.45,0.43,0.16,0	91.8%