NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	8.4 [185]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +4.5%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	10.0 [94]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): -20.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	21	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	48%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.15,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	19	57%	0.05	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	9	41%	-0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	9	25%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	1	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.05	4	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.13
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	13	47%	0.04	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.14	0.01	20	57%	0.12	3	-0.25	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.16	0.02	10	46%	-0.14	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	8	43%	-0.16	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.6	32.1	17.4	24.4	4.3	37.5	147.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -25.4%

NJN +32.6%

NJN +27.2%

NJN +10.0%

NJN +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	16.7	15.5	96.7	96.6	101.6
season	15.0	16.8		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		97.8	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.4	13.6	19.1	15.8	15.3
DET	17.3	16.4	16.9	16.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	51	49	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.52	8	-6	14	13.8	17.3	-3.54	17.3	15.9	1.45
Kenyon Martin	80	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-5	12	15.5	14.3	1.19	16.4	18.9	-2.52
Jason Kidd	83	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-2	6	15.1	17.1	-1.98	16.6	17.7	-1.08
Jason Collins	60	59	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.50	0	2	-2	15.8	14.4	1.36	15.9	18.3	-2.37
Richard Jefferson	41	43	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	3	-4	16.8	14.1	2.62	16.6	16.8	-0.18
Rodney Rogers	48	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	-2	6	14.0	16.8	-2.75	17.6	15.7	1.84
Aaron Williams	32	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	0	2	14.0	16.1	-2.08	18.3	15.9	2.37
Anthony Johnson	8	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	4	-6	17.1	15.1	1.98	17.7	16.6	1.08
Brian Scalabrine	12	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	8	-14	15.9	15.2	0.69	15.5	16.9	-1.31
Kerry Kittles	40	40	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	8	-14	17.3	13.8	3.54	15.9	17.3	-1.45

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	47	48	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-9	16	15.8	17.7	-1.97	16.0	14.6	1.35
Mehmet Okur	31	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-5	8	17.3	16.4	0.96	12.8	16.6	-3.76
Chucky Atkins	14	13	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-4	6	19.0	16.3	2.73	14.9	15.4	-0.46
Jon Barry	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	0	-2	17.6	16.4	1.23	13.2	16.0	-2.87
Ben Wallace	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-2	2	16.5	18.3	-1.80	15.9	11.5	4.40
Richard Hamilton	66	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-2	2	16.4	17.6	-1.23	15.8	13.8	2.04
Clifford Robinson	69	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	5	-12	16.7	16.8	-0.13	16.2	12.3	3.87
Chauncey Billups	75	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	2	-6	16.3	19.0	-2.73	15.4	14.9	0.46
Corliss Williamson	42	44	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.49	-9	7	-16	17.7	15.8	1.97	14.3	16.3	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.29,0	92.6%
MIL 91, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,0	92.5%
UTA 107, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.26,0	92.1%