NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	91		Excitement	8.8 [129]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): +23.7%
Toronto Raptors	86		Comeback	9.3 [225]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -25.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.17	-0.00	15	62%	0.28	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.06
Michael Redd	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23	0.11	0.12	-0.00	9	76%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Tim Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18	-0.00	0.18	-0.00	8	62%	0.24	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	19	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	4	64%	0.00	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	14	27%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.12	6	100%	0.05
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	27%	-0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	48%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	15	33%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Keon Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	16	51%	-0.04	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	9	30%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.20	-0.01	20	52%	-0.16	5	-0.10	6	33%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.7	26.2	18.7	29.7	2.7	43.4	151.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +84.1%

MIL +15.4%

TOR -50.2%

MIL +2.6%

TOR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	TOR	NBA	MIL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.8	15.6	101.1	93.5	102.3
season	15.3	16.2		104.7	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		100.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	16.4	16.0	12.7	14.8
TOR	15.0	17.9	16.0	18.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	47	50	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-2	9	14.8	14.9	-0.14	16.4	17.3	-0.86
Ray Allen	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-4	13	14.3	17.3	-3.02	17.2	15.1	2.16
Anthony Mason	78	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	2	1	14.8	14.8	0.00	16.5	18.6	-2.06
Darvin Ham	29	30	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-3	11	15.3	14.6	0.70	20.3	15.1	5.20
Sam Cassell	67	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	5	-5	14.8	14.9	-0.11	16.9	16.5	0.40
Michael Redd	33	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	-2	9	15.6	14.4	1.17	16.5	17.0	-0.53
Ervin Johnson	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	8	-11	15.2	14.5	0.72	15.9	17.6	-1.74
Rafer Alston	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	6	-7	15.4	14.8	0.65	13.7	17.0	-3.33
Joel Przybilla	29	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.07	-2	7	-9	13.8	15.3	-1.53	15.9	17.2	-1.36
Glenn Robinson	43	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	8	-11	15.2	14.5	0.72	16.7	16.8	-0.10

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	48	48	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-9	13	15.9	17.8	-1.88	14.5	15.2	-0.67
Morris Peterson	41	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-3	1	16.4	17.1	-0.68	14.9	14.7	0.19
Mamadou N'diaye	27	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	18.9	15.9	2.97	15.9	14.5	1.42
Jermaine Jackson	7	9	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	1	-7	17.4	16.7	0.69	15.4	14.8	0.68
Tracy Murray	33	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	0	-5	16.5	17.0	-0.48	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Antonio Davis	85	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-4	3	16.7	17.4	-0.69	14.6	16.9	-2.24
Alvin Williams	81	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-4	3	16.5	18.6	-2.09	14.6	16.6	-2.05
Keon Clark	75	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	1	-7	16.8	16.9	-0.11	15.0	14.1	0.94
Chris Childs	63	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	0	-5	17.3	15.6	1.71	15.2	14.0	1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 107, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.26,0	93.1%
UTA 90, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.29,0	92.8%
NJN 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	92.5%