NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	8.5 [101]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +13.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	6.6 [66]		LVP	Derek Harper (LAL): -12.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.02	13	67%	0.20	2	-0.07	13	92%	0.05
Travis Best	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	7	43%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05	-0.05	0.10	-0.00	10	50%	0.16	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	83%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Mullin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	11	53%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Sam Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	65%	0.02	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	30	54%	0.14	2	-0.12	7	57%	-0.04
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	60%	0.08	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	12	43%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	29.4	17.7	27.0	2.7	48.3	152.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.6%

IND +30.1%

LAL -14.9%

IND +18.7%

LAL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.8	106.3	104.2	99.6
season	16.4	14.9		105.4	104.7
opponent	15.8	16.0		102.0	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.5	16.3	14.5	13.5	15.4
LAL	13.8	15.0	13.2	17.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	73	73	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-7	16	15.1	16.6	-1.51	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Travis Best	40	40	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.51	2	0	2	14.4	16.1	-1.70	16.5	13.7	2.75
Jalen Rose	49	48	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-1	4	14.3	16.7	-2.41	16.2	13.5	2.72
Antonio Davis	51	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.53	-2	4	-6	15.1	15.8	-0.72	15.3	14.4	0.92
Sam Perkins	44	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	0	2	14.6	16.1	-1.52	15.8	14.2	1.62
Rik Smits	51	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-1	4	15.9	14.9	0.93	14.7	15.2	-0.46
Dale Davis	44	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	1	0	16.1	14.8	1.31	13.8	15.8	-2.07
Chris Mullin	41	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	1	0	16.0	15.0	0.91	14.0	15.6	-1.54
Mark Jackson	55	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	2	-2	16.1	14.4	1.70	13.7	16.5	-2.75
Austin Croshere	27	27	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.01	-9	11	-20	17.7	14.5	3.17	14.9	14.9	-0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	0	1	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-5	8	0.0	14.9	-14.88	1.0	15.6	-14.59
Derek Fisher	37	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-2	2	12.8	16.2	-3.35	16.4	14.8	1.55
Corie Blount	40	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-2	2	13.2	16.1	-2.82	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Elden Campbell	28	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	0	-2	13.8	15.3	-1.51	15.9	15.2	0.73
Rick Fox	42	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-1	0	15.6	14.3	1.23	15.5	15.4	0.11
Eddie Jones	73	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	15.3	13.6	1.68	14.4	18.4	-3.99
Travis Knight	43	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	4	-10	16.7	13.4	3.27	17.1	14.0	3.05
Derek Harper	64	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.51	0	-2	2	15.6	13.3	2.32	15.5	15.3	0.21
Shaquille O'Neal	79	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	15.1	13.7	1.36	15.5	15.3	0.14
Kobe Bryant	69	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	4	-10	14.4	16.0	-1.59	15.4	15.4	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.14,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.83,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.34,0.27,0	93.3%
OKC 92, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.68,0.45,0.43,0.16,0	92.3%
ATL 118, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.03,0,0	91.9%