NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	118		Excitement	9.0 [184]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +30.8%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	4.6 [227]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): -11.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.31	0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,0,0,0.16,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.03	0.29	0.01	21	55%	0.41	4	-0.10	7	71%	0.02
John Collins	0.30	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.3	0.19	0.13	0.02	20	69%	0.38	2	-0.08	11	64%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.06	5	69%	0.15	3	-0.12	3	67%	0.05
Taurean Prince	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	8	69%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	73%	0.06	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.09	0.02	15	64%	0.20	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.11
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.06,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.04	10	87%	0.19	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	27	56%	0.12	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Jawun Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	16	34%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	15	39%	-0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	27.7	14.8	27.4	2.4	28.4	129.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.5%

ATL +26.7%

ATL +27.7%

PHX -43.0%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.3	118.0	112.0	109.3
season	13.6	14.4		107.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	13.9		114.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	13.6	15.6	15.0	14.6
PHX	12.2	14.7	15.7	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	80	79	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-9	24	14.8	13.8	1.03	14.7	12.1	2.64
Taurean Prince	64	63	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.43	-2	8	-10	15.7	12.6	3.14	14.9	13.0	1.83
Kevin Huerter	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	9	-12	15.2	13.2	2.03	14.6	13.3	1.34
Trae Young	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	9	-12	15.7	12.2	3.47	14.7	13.1	1.52
Jeremy Lin	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	-3	12	12.2	15.7	-3.47	13.1	14.7	-1.52
Alex Len	41	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	0	6	13.4	15.5	-2.13	13.3	14.8	-1.46
DeAndre' Bembry	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-2	10	13.3	15.3	-1.96	12.5	15.0	-2.50
Dewayne Dedmon	53	52	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	7	-8	15.3	13.8	1.49	15.1	13.2	1.91
Kent Bazemore	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.11	8	-2	10	12.6	15.7	-3.14	13.0	14.9	-1.83
Vince Carter	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	5	-4	10.9	15.0	-4.10	11.8	14.4	-2.64
Omari Spellman	13	13	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	14	-22	17.2	14.2	2.91	13.8	14.2	-0.38

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elie Okobo	61	61	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-11	16	14.9	13.0	1.89	16.0	12.4	3.58
Jawun Evans	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-6	6	14.9	14.1	0.78	15.0	14.6	0.42
Devin Booker	89	88	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.27	5	-11	16	13.8	17.4	-3.58	15.0	12.1	2.88
Deandre Ayton	66	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-14	22	14.9	12.7	2.23	15.6	12.8	2.81
Jamal Crawford	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	4	-14	12.4	14.6	-2.17	10.3	15.6	-5.31
Richaun Holmes	43	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	7	-20	13.0	15.1	-2.03	12.8	15.9	-3.16
Kelly Oubre Jr.	64	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.23	-10	4	-14	13.9	14.7	-0.76	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Josh Jackson	73	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	0	-6	14.9	12.3	2.58	15.1	13.3	1.72
Mikal Bridges	76	77	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.41	-9	3	-12	14.0	14.9	-0.91	14.1	16.3	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.04,0	92.4%
IND 101, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.14,0.16,0	91.9%
POR 87, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.09,0,0	91.8%