NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	7.6 [305]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +15.3%
Phoenix Suns	81		Comeback	4.4 [304]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -24.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.13	0.01	26	48%	0.15	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Dorell Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.11	3	-0.11	5	40%	-0.03
CJ McCollum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	6	37%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.11	0.02	15	34%	-0.13	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	19	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	16	44%	-0.07	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	20	30%	-0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	26.0	15.4	24.4	2.5	30.7	122.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.2%

PHX -10.9%

POR +27.6%

PHX -9.9%

PHX -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.1	93.5	87.1	104.2
season	15.3	14.4		106.5	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		104.9	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.6	14.4	19.1	15.2	16.0
PHX	17.1	13.8	13.6	15.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	57	56	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-6	18	15.5	16.7	-1.22	15.6	14.0	1.65
Arron Afflalo	59	58	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	0	6	15.7	16.5	-0.79	15.4	14.3	1.09
Damian Lillard	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	16.3	15.4	0.90	15.3	14.3	0.94
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	65	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-2	10	16.3	15.3	1.04	15.1	14.6	0.57
Dorell Wright	39	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	0	6	15.5	16.3	-0.79	15.0	15.0	0.01
Steve Blake	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	4	-2	15.0	16.6	-1.65	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Nicolas Batum	63	62	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	8	-10	16.2	15.5	0.74	14.9	15.1	-0.19
Joel Freeland	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	11	-16	15.3	16.1	-0.87	13.7	15.2	-1.48
CJ McCollum	33	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	9	-12	16.8	15.5	1.27	14.2	15.4	-1.28
Chris Kaman	35	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.09	-3	9	-12	16.8	15.5	1.28	14.2	15.4	-1.22

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	28	28	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.07	7	-13	20	13.2	15.7	-2.46	14.9	16.5	-1.64
Brandan Wright	37	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-10	14	13.7	15.8	-2.15	15.9	16.0	-0.09
Archie Goodwin	37	35	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-4	2	14.2	15.5	-1.29	17.0	15.4	1.56
A.J. Price	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-5	4	17.1	14.8	2.35	13.7	16.2	-2.47
Markieff Morris	70	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-6	6	15.0	15.0	0.01	16.7	14.1	2.57
Eric Bledsoe	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.0	14.8	0.15	16.2	15.3	0.86
Alex Len	56	57	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	15.8	13.7	2.15	16.0	15.9	0.09
Marcus Morris	85	87	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	4	-14	15.2	12.0	3.25	15.8	19.0	-3.21
PJ Tucker	72	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	9	-24	15.5	13.3	2.17	15.6	17.4	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.22,0.03,0,0	92.9%
HOU 94, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.04,0	92.5%
CHH 89, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.46,0.15,0.23,0	92.4%