NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	89		Excitement	8.5 [168]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +17.7%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	2.8 [674]		LVP	Eddie Robinson (CHI): -22.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18	-0.02	0.16	-0.04	15	58%	0.35	4	-0.17	6	33%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.12	-0.05	0.17	-0.00	12	50%	0.15	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.05
P.J. Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.02	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Matt Bullard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bryce Drew	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	14	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	21	52%	0.05	3	-0.19	8	87%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	13	45%	0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.08
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	18	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.00	0	0.00	13	77%	-0.02
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	6	28%	-0.09	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	7	31%	-0.16	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.12	0.03	14	47%	-0.14	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	33.2	15.7	24.3	2.4	34.3	134.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +79.5%

CHI -15.1%

CHI -7.6%

CHI -10.4%

CHH +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	15.6	92.7	91.4	102.3
season	15.9	15.6		102.2	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.3	15.4	15.2	15.5	14.8
CHI	14.3	15.3	16.8	16.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	70	70	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-8	20	14.2	16.3	-2.10	14.6	18.9	-4.24
P.J. Brown	48	47	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.42	7	-3	10	14.5	15.1	-0.62	15.1	16.2	-1.07
Jamal Mashburn	92	88	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-2	8	14.8	14.0	0.85	15.8	14.0	1.77
David Wesley	87	86	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.38	5	-1	6	14.7	16.2	-1.56	15.2	21.7	-6.53
Baron Davis	88	85	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	2	0	14.5	17.9	-3.34	14.5	27.7	-13.21
Bryce Drew	19	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	3	-2	17.3	14.2	3.06	20.0	14.5	5.57
Robert Traylor	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.07	2	2	0	15.6	14.6	1.05	18.3	14.8	3.58
Lee Nailon	26	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	6	-8	15.9	14.4	1.52	20.1	14.3	5.84
Matt Bullard	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	11.6	15.1	-3.59	12.9	15.9	-3.07
Jamaal Magloire	18	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	12	-20	16.2	14.5	1.67	15.8	15.7	0.15

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	35	37	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-8	12	17.9	14.3	3.63	17.1	13.4	3.69
Charles Oakley	62	62	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.15	-1	-3	2	16.2	14.7	1.50	14.0	16.3	-2.29
Dalibor Bagaric	5	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-5	6	21.6	15.3	6.26	15.2	14.8	0.38
Kevin Ollie	32	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-3	2	18.3	14.3	4.02	17.2	13.5	3.71
Greg Anthony	61	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	14.3	18.3	-4.02	13.5	17.2	-3.71
Ron Mercer	75	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	1	-6	16.1	13.7	2.42	14.2	17.4	-3.25
Marcus Fizer	38	40	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.46	-3	-1	-2	16.8	14.9	1.97	16.1	13.9	2.21
Brad Miller	81	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.45	-5	1	-6	14.4	24.4	-10.03	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Eddie Robinson	76	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	3	-10	14.2	22.4	-8.24	14.4	16.7	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.46,0.15,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.04,0	92.9%
POR 87, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.09,0,0	92.4%
POR 99, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.22,0.28,0	91.7%