NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	8.6 [164]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +27.9%
Detroit Pistons	94		Comeback	3.7 [427]		LVP	Christian Laettner (DET): -13.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.2,0.2,0.28	0.06	0.21	-0.00	11	75%	0.37	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	5	92%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Detlef Schrempf	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	8	50%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	71%	0.05	1	-0.04	10	70%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.17	-0.00	17	59%	0.30	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.07
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	90%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	-0.04	10	50%	-0.02	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,-0.07	-0.07	0.09	-0.18	-0.02	17	68%	0.09	2	-0.16	10	70%	0.02
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	8	68%	0.01	5	-0.15	6	83%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	28.5	25.8	26.0	2.5	40.4	150.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.6%

POR +11.3%

POR +0.8%

POR +8.8%

DET -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	15.4	15.2	112.5	106.8	101.7
season	15.9	14.1		105.9	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.0	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.3	18.1	18.2	15.0	17.4
DET	16.0	13.2	15.3	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	71	72	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-6	17	17.4	17.1	0.38	15.4	15.1	0.29
Steven Smith	68	67	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.30	13	-8	21	16.6	20.0	-3.48	15.4	15.3	0.04
Greg Anthony	33	34	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	0	5	16.5	17.9	-1.36	16.4	14.7	1.66
Detlef Schrempf	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	5	-5	16.6	18.1	-1.44	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Rasheed Wallace	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	1	3	17.1	18.1	-1.04	15.0	16.4	-1.45
Arvydas Sabonis	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	-3	11	18.1	15.7	2.37	16.0	13.8	2.18
Stacey Augmon	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	15.4	17.6	-2.14	17.1	15.2	1.95
Jermaine O'Neal	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	7	-9	18.3	17.3	1.04	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Damon Stoudamire	55	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	5	-5	17.9	16.5	1.36	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Bonzi Wells	28	28	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.02	-12	17	-29	19.7	16.3	3.45	14.6	15.7	-1.06

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	20	21	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-12	19	14.8	15.5	-0.73	17.0	17.5	-0.48
Mikki Moore	27	28	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.06	3	-8	11	13.7	16.1	-2.45	19.4	16.4	2.98
Eric Montross	13	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-4	3	16.2	15.2	1.02	15.9	17.6	-1.71
Michael Curry	41	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	14.2	16.4	-2.14	17.7	17.1	0.58
Terry Mills	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	0	-5	15.9	14.9	1.07	17.2	17.5	-0.28
Jerome Williams	33	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	16.1	14.9	1.12	18.0	17.0	1.07
Grant Hill	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	16.1	11.9	4.19	17.8	15.4	2.49
Jerry Stackhouse	63	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-2	-1	15.2	15.7	-0.44	16.6	19.2	-2.62
Christian Laettner	63	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.46	-3	-2	-1	15.2	15.8	-0.67	16.5	19.4	-2.87
Lindsey Hunter	68	67	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	7	-19	15.5	14.8	0.73	17.5	17.0	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 111, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.28,0	92.1%
CHH 89, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.46,0.15,0.23,0	91.7%
NYK 111, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.33,0.42,0	91.6%