NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	111		Excitement	10.0 [56]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +36.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	6.5 [108]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (MIL): -28.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.37,0.37	0.03	0.33	0.00	13	50%	0.37	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Steve Novak	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2	0.03	0.17	-0.00	6	71%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Carmelo Anthony	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0,0,0.02,0.13,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.02	26	56%	0.21	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	6	100%	0.23	5	-0.16	7	100%	0.04
Landry Fields	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.00	-0.14	0.02	15	46%	-0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	25	64%	0.27	5	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	4	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.01	7	42%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.22	-0.22	0.00	-0.20	0.02	20	54%	-0.08	3	-0.14	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.28	-0.28	0.05	-0.32	0.01	15	50%	-0.26	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	36.1	18.4	27.3	3.5	39.5	150.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +52.5%

NYK +21.9%

MIL -27.7%

NYK +4.6%

MIL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.0	15.6	112.1	109.2	102.8
season	14.9	14.6		102.3	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		103.4	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.4	15.0	20.4	14.5	15.2
MIL	13.9	12.2	14.9	15.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	81	81	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-8	20	14.4	18.8	-4.41	14.3	12.8	1.44
Carmelo Anthony	86	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-6	16	14.6	19.5	-4.88	14.4	11.2	3.20
Iman Shumpert	87	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	15.1	16.2	-1.17	14.1	13.5	0.52
Steve Novak	44	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	4	-4	16.5	14.2	2.26	14.4	13.7	0.64
Baron Davis	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	-11	26	13.2	16.9	-3.71	13.8	14.2	-0.35
Landry Fields	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	-10	24	14.6	16.4	-1.78	13.7	14.5	-0.80
J.R. Smith	53	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.59	-12	16	-28	17.1	13.1	4.03	14.2	13.8	0.35
Jared Jeffries	18	18	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	12	-20	18.8	14.4	4.41	12.4	14.4	-1.92
Mike Bibby	18	18	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.11	-15	19	-34	17.7	14.7	2.99	12.3	14.4	-2.12

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	23	22	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.02	10	-14	24	12.8	14.4	-1.55	17.5	14.6	2.93
Beno Udrih	27	27	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.09	13	-17	30	13.0	14.4	-1.45	18.8	13.9	4.94
Ersan Ilyasova	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-1	-2	14.3	13.9	0.44	15.4	15.1	0.27
Shaun Livingston	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	6.0	14.1	-8.09	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Drew Gooden	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	1	-6	14.4	14.0	0.46	11.7	15.7	-4.05
Luc Mbah a Moute	64	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.50	12	-16	28	14.0	14.1	-0.12	16.6	12.9	3.72
Mike Dunleavy	73	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.42	7	-11	18	13.6	15.2	-1.65	15.5	14.2	1.34
Carlos Delfino	46	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	13	-30	14.8	13.3	1.50	14.1	16.2	-2.16
Monta Ellis	86	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	4	-12	14.0	13.7	0.30	14.7	18.4	-3.65
Brandon Jennings	83	86	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.33	-13	9	-22	14.3	12.3	1.98	14.6	19.3	-4.70
Ekpe Udoh	47	49	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.46	-14	10	-24	14.4	13.6	0.76	13.8	16.6	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 99, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.22,0.28,0	91.6%
DEN 96, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,0	91.2%
PHX 111, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.28,0	91.1%