NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	9.3 [90]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +29.9%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	3.6 [425]		LVP	James Johnson (CHI): -14.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.30	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.29,0.3	-0.01	0.31	-0.00	20	50%	0.37	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Channing Frye	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.25	0.06	0.19	0.00	8	67%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.00	3	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.16	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	19	64%	0.23	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.01	6	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	2	30%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	15	50%	0.00	0	0.00	12	75%	-0.04
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.19	0.10	0.00	12	88%	0.33	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.09,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.25	0.05	16	56%	0.33	1	-0.06	9	89%	0.14
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.00	5	75%	0.18	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	47%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Richard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.10	-0.03	15	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	33.2	16.4	29.0	2.8	37.7	146.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +66.1%

CHI -24.3%

CHI -4.2%

PHX +7.8%

PHX +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.3	115.6	108.2	106.0
season	14.4	14.7		113.5	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.9	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	16.7	14.8	15.4	15.3
CHI	13.3	14.0	17.2	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	68	68	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.29	22	-16	38	16.0	13.4	2.62	14.9	13.7	1.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	77	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.29	14	-8	22	16.3	11.1	5.21	15.0	12.8	2.16
Grant Hill	61	59	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-3	12	15.7	14.6	1.07	15.0	13.8	1.19
Steve Nash	71	70	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	16.0	13.2	2.76	14.8	13.9	0.94
Channing Frye	51	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	5	-4	13.6	17.2	-3.65	14.6	14.5	0.18
Jarron Collins	35	33	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	2	2	16.7	14.4	2.30	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Goran Dragic	25	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	12	-18	13.2	16.0	-2.76	13.9	14.8	-0.94
Jared Dudley	37	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.13	-2	8	-10	13.8	16.2	-2.39	13.5	15.3	-1.86
Lou Amundson	27	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	14	-22	14.8	15.5	-0.65	14.2	14.7	-0.45
Leandro Barbosa	28	29	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.04	-16	22	-38	13.4	16.0	-2.62	13.7	14.9	-1.20

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	22	24	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-10	14	14.8	14.5	0.27	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Acie Law	8	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-6	6	16.9	14.4	2.52	16.2	15.2	1.04
Chris Richard	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-6	6	33.0	14.4	18.62	10.0	15.3	-5.34
Kirk Hinrich	34	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	2	-10	14.3	14.7	-0.37	14.5	15.7	-1.16
Taj Gibson	66	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	0	-6	15.0	13.7	1.31	15.6	14.5	1.08
Derrick Rose	87	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-3	0	14.2	17.5	-3.27	15.7	12.4	3.30
James Johnson	30	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	7	-20	13.9	14.9	-1.01	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Ronald Murray	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-10	14	14.8	14.0	0.82	15.4	15.0	0.44
Brad Miller	46	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	1	-8	14.0	15.1	-1.04	15.6	15.0	0.65
Joakim Noah	57	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-4	2	14.4	14.8	-0.40	15.6	15.0	0.60
Jannero Pargo	62	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-7	8	14.7	14.3	0.40	14.9	15.9	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 99, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.22,0.28,0	92.1%
DEN 96, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,0	91.6%
OKC 109, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	91.4%