inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 96 Excitement9.0 [115] MVPNick Van Exel (DEN): +38.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 95 Comeback3.9 [135] LVPDetlef Schrempf (POR): -42.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.04,0.380.080.320.021958%0.501-0.1100%0.00
Antonio McDyess0.230,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.230.100.140.011273%0.251-0.02667%-0.01
Ryan Bowen0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
George McCloud0.050,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.05-0.001348%0.071-0.0210%-0.05
James Posey0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.01383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.001167%0.133-0.082100%0.02
Roy Rogers0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.00837%-0.0700.00333%-0.03
Chris Herren-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.07-0.07-0.0030%-0.071-0.0600%0.00
Keon Clark-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.10-0.09-0.00521%-0.161-0.03425%-0.09

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.250.250.030.22-0.001456%0.271-0.024100%0.15
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.070.011159%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.030.00968%0.1000.004100%0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.00757%0.0700.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.020.00667%0.0300.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.00950%0.031-0.046100%0.04
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.00928%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Greg Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.09-0.00437%-0.042-0.1000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.07-0.090.01835%-0.111-0.06475%0.01
Detlef Schrempf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.42-0.42-0.10-0.33-0.00929%-0.331-0.10367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.627.215.622.11.733.0126.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +101.8%
POR -38.6%
POR -23.7%
DEN +5.1%
DEN +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game15.716.415.2107.9105.6101.7
season14.815.9101.5105.9
opponent15.715.099.1103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.617.416.715.515.7
POR15.814.716.818.816.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey32340.85-0.351.200.4414-132715.216.1-0.9018.515.23.26
Nick Van Exel66660.84-0.341.180.5211-102115.416.7-1.3616.416.6-0.25
Antonio McDyess66660.84-0.341.180.5211-102115.416.7-1.3616.416.6-0.25
George McCloud62640.74-0.240.970.3015-142915.915.30.6216.516.30.25
Raef LaFrentz61620.69-0.190.890.468-71515.915.30.6517.115.02.10
Roy Rogers1314-0.180.68-0.860.08-910-1916.715.61.1313.916.9-3.06
Keon Clark4646-0.260.76-1.030.18-1516-3115.815.70.1515.617.3-1.71
Ryan Bowen3836-0.320.82-1.140.03-1213-2515.815.70.1515.517.1-1.62
Chris Herren2324-0.340.84-1.18-0.05-1011-2116.715.41.3616.616.40.25
Chris Gatling3838-0.360.86-1.21-0.12-89-1715.715.8-0.0816.416.40.01

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal45440.18-0.680.86-0.099-101915.517.4-1.8715.416.0-0.59
Rasheed Wallace4849-0.03-0.470.440.12-54-916.416.5-0.0115.016.6-1.58
Steven Smith4747-0.03-0.470.430.05-32-516.416.5-0.0415.216.4-1.19
Damon Stoudamire4646-0.10-0.400.300.07-65-1116.316.6-0.3315.016.5-1.47
Scottie Pippen3938-0.17-0.330.160.12-109-1916.616.30.3015.316.1-0.77
Greg Anthony4443-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.545-61116.616.30.3316.515.01.47
Detlef Schrempf4443-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.545-61116.616.30.3316.515.01.47
Stacey Augmon4948-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.648-91716.216.8-0.6216.115.30.86
Bonzi Wells4342-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.522-3516.516.40.0416.415.21.19
Brian Grant4545-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-109-1917.415.51.8716.015.40.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 111, CHI 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.28,091.6%
DET 87, ORL 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.15,091.5%
NYK 111, MIL 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.33,0.42,091.2%