inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 87 Excitement7.7 [317] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +40.9%
Orlando Magic 83 Comeback2.6 [272] LVPDarko Milicic (ORL): -24.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.410,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.410.200.220.011677%0.473-0.06875%0.02
Richard Hamilton0.140,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.14-0.010.15-0.001350%0.202-0.062100%0.01
Ronald Murray0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11-0.020.11-0.021250%0.132-0.0220%-0.12
Nazr Mohammed0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.002100%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00167%0.021-0.02450%-0.02
Carlos Delfino-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dale Davis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00325%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.09-0.080.001127%-0.141-0.0300%0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.01-0.150.011250%-0.062-0.12250%-0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.040.12-0.021364%0.375-0.191385%0.08
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.07-0.00550%0.0800.00475%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.03-0.00747%0.0400.00580%-0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00559%0.071-0.04729%-0.07
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.00-0.140.02957%-0.032-0.14367%-0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.21-0.21-0.04-0.170.001045%-0.042-0.1700%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.05-0.200.00533%-0.091-0.1520%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.729.316.829.22.537.3142.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +34.6%
ORL -13.0%
ORL -3.4%
DET +42.3%
ORL -10.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETORLNBADETORLNBA
this game17.515.815.4100.096.5104.5
season16.815.9106.1103.4
opponent15.715.7103.0101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET19.016.618.116.117.5
ORL15.116.914.017.315.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups71700.66-0.160.830.3112-82017.218.7-1.4815.616.6-0.93
Tayshaun Prince65630.62-0.120.750.427-31017.617.20.3415.915.50.38
Richard Hamilton61590.54-0.040.580.4240417.916.51.4616.015.40.63
Rasheed Wallace56550.460.040.420.3731218.615.53.0115.716.0-0.26
Ronald Murray55560.440.060.390.47-15-616.519.2-2.8015.715.9-0.15
Nazr Mohammed24240.080.42-0.33-0.127-31019.816.63.2515.316.0-0.71
Jason Maxiell29310.000.50-0.50-0.0313-216.717.9-1.1916.715.31.47
Antonio McDyess3029-0.050.55-0.61-0.02-15-616.118.2-2.1617.215.12.07
Carlos Delfino2324-0.070.57-0.65-0.02-26-817.117.6-0.5415.715.9-0.19
Dale Davis2119-0.190.69-0.880.10-1014-2417.617.50.1213.116.6-3.46

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Garrity16180.17-0.670.85-0.037-111816.515.60.8615.917.9-1.94
Keyon Dooling27260.14-0.640.790.034-81216.315.60.7216.817.8-1.02
Carlos Arroyo30280.10-0.600.700.042-6816.515.41.0216.517.9-1.40
Trevor Ariza41430.07-0.570.650.022-6815.016.5-1.4917.517.5-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu1819-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-3215.715.8-0.1719.317.02.35
Tony Battie4041-0.19-0.310.120.04-84-1216.814.91.8718.516.61.95
Darko Milicic4645-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.413-71014.916.8-1.8716.918.1-1.28
Keith Bogans2726-0.550.05-0.60-0.43-40-417.115.21.8515.618.3-2.66
Jameer Nelson5659-0.600.10-0.70-0.43-62-815.416.5-1.0217.916.51.40
Grant Hill5860-0.620.12-0.75-0.39-84-1215.716.0-0.3518.116.11.94
Dwight Howard7170-0.690.19-0.89-0.37-117-1815.517.0-1.4517.616.90.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 101, SAC 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.15,092.9%
DEN 96, POR 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,091.5%
CLE 92, DET 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.02,091.2%