NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	7.5 [299]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +40.7%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	2.4 [322]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (OKC): -11.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41	0.20	0.21	0.00	20	67%	0.45	2	-0.05	15	100%	0.13
Jeff Green	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.31,0.31	0.07	0.25	0.01	14	61%	0.36	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	4	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.03	17	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
James Harden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Nenad Krstic	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.12	-0.00	8	90%	0.29	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.01	6	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	13	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	12	52%	0.16	2	-0.13	1	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	12	67%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	0.7	31.0	15.8	26.8	1.7	35.4	137.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +8.1%

OKC +12.7%

OKC +20.9%

OKC +8.8%

BOS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BOS	NBA	OKC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	16.5	15.3	118.5	115.6	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		106.2	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.8	17.3	16.0	16.0	15.1
BOS	15.8	16.2	17.6	16.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	86	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	14.7	21.2	-6.47	16.5	17.7	-1.20
Jeff Green	72	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	3	-1	16.1	11.5	4.63	17.1	14.6	2.44
Nenad Krstic	65	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	3	-1	16.2	12.5	3.68	16.8	15.9	0.99
Russell Westbrook	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	5	-5	15.5	14.3	1.20	16.2	17.4	-1.18
James Harden	50	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-5	15	14.5	15.8	-1.27	17.0	16.1	0.89
Thabo Sefolosha	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	10	-15	15.8	14.5	1.27	16.1	17.0	-0.89
Eric Maynor	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	0	5	14.3	15.5	-1.20	17.4	16.2	1.18
Nick Collison	27	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	2	1	12.5	16.2	-3.68	15.9	16.8	-0.99
Serge Ibaka	26	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	6	-7	13.7	15.7	-1.94	15.3	17.0	-1.69

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	42	42	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-8	11	16.9	16.2	0.72	15.1	15.1	-0.00
Michael Finley	18	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-5	5	19.3	15.9	3.42	17.4	14.6	2.74
Nate Robinson	21	22	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-7	9	16.5	16.6	-0.03	16.4	14.7	1.69
Marquis Daniels	28	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	15.9	16.9	-1.00	14.6	15.4	-0.72
Glen Davis	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	1	-7	16.6	16.5	0.05	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Ray Allen	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-3	1	16.9	15.9	1.00	15.4	14.6	0.72
Kevin Garnett	56	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-4	3	16.7	16.2	0.54	15.8	14.0	1.78
Rajon Rondo	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	0	-5	16.4	17.1	-0.78	14.5	17.2	-2.68
Paul Pierce	72	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	0	-5	15.9	19.3	-3.42	14.6	17.4	-2.74
Rasheed Wallace	48	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	3	-11	16.2	16.9	-0.72	15.1	15.1	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.16,0	92.6%
DET 92, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.1,0.04,0	92.4%
IND 107, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.68,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.22,0.05,0	92.0%