NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	8.5 [246]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +22.3%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	2.9 [577]		LVP	Enes Kanter (NYK): -17.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.00	0.00	12	97%	0.50	6	-0.31	7	86%	0.05
Victor Oladipo	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.09,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	18	63%	0.26	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	54%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Cory Joseph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.19	-0.01	-0.03	19	77%	0.49	5	-0.27	10	100%	0.06
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	0.00	7	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.09	0.01	11	57%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	6	78%	0.15	5	-0.20	6	83%	-0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	4	33%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	8	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	11	29%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.6	30.2	14.7	27.2	2.8	36.0	140.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.8%

NYK -9.8%

IND +14.9%

IND +9.0%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.3	112.6	102.0	109.3
season	14.5	14.5		108.4	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.6		112.5	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.7	16.2	13.7	13.6	15.0
NYK	13.3	14.5	15.7	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	68	68	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.48	8	-2	10	15.6	13.7	1.89	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Cory Joseph	64	67	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	3	0	14.6	16.0	-1.41	14.1	15.9	-1.82
Bojan Bogdanovic	61	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-1	8	14.9	15.2	-0.24	15.2	13.6	1.65
Domantas Sabonis	43	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	0	6	13.9	16.0	-2.08	14.8	14.5	0.28
Victor Oladipo	64	67	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.19	3	3	0	14.8	15.4	-0.54	14.8	14.3	0.49
Myles Turner	57	57	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	2	2	15.2	14.7	0.52	15.5	13.6	1.92
Doug McDermott	24	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.11	-2	8	-10	14.7	15.1	-0.42	15.2	14.5	0.70
Tyreke Evans	41	42	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	6	-6	14.4	15.5	-1.02	14.5	14.8	-0.35
Kyle O'Quinn	6	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	17.8	14.8	3.00	8.0	15.2	-7.18
Darren Collison	47	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.13	3	3	0	16.3	13.7	2.57	14.3	15.0	-0.67

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	24	23	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-11	16	15.5	14.4	1.14	15.4	14.9	0.49
Mitchell Robinson	37	35	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-10	14	13.5	15.4	-1.81	16.8	14.0	2.77
Trey Burke	29	27	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-10	14	16.1	14.1	2.07	14.2	15.3	-1.12
Allonzo Trier	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-4	2	14.3	15.0	-0.68	14.7	15.3	-0.67
Enes Kanter	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	16.4	13.5	2.88	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Noah Vonleh	69	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-2	-2	14.2	15.9	-1.71	15.2	14.6	0.57
Frank Ntilikina	67	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	2	-10	14.4	15.3	-0.94	15.3	14.4	0.91
Lance Thomas	35	33	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.3	1.03	13.3	16.0	-2.68
Damyean Dotson	68	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	2	-10	14.2	15.6	-1.41	15.1	14.9	0.13
Tim Hardaway Jr.	78	76	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	8	-22	14.5	15.2	-0.65	15.3	13.8	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.68,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.22,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	92.0%
LAL 81, MIA 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.22,0.02,0	92.0%
DEN 103, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.66,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.22,0.16,0	91.4%