NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	7.8 [260]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +12.0%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	3.3 [127]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -19.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	9	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.05	0.04	14	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,0.08,0.12,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	26	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.04
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.00	13	44%	0.05	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	13	36%	0.04	1	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	8	37%	-0.13
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,-0.19	-0.19	0.11	-0.29	0.01	17	67%	-0.09	3	-0.10	8	87%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	34.0	20.4	26.6	3.6	37.7	151.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +4.1%

HOU +17.9%

HOU +12.4%

HOU +19.1%

UTA -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	17.6	16.7	15.4	109.3	112.2	105.7
season	16.2	15.5		104.6	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.5	18.5	17.9	16.5	17.6
UTA	18.6	14.9	16.4	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	41	40	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-7	16	18.3	16.9	1.45	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Luis Scola	71	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	0	2	16.8	21.4	-4.63	17.0	15.3	1.73
Tracy McGrady	79	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	1	0	17.6	17.4	0.17	16.5	18.5	-2.01
Shane Battier	81	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.43	1	1	0	17.1	25.4	-8.30	17.0	12.4	4.56
Bobby Jackson	28	28	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-7	16	16.2	18.2	-1.97	17.9	16.1	1.84
Rafer Alston	63	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	8	-14	18.8	14.3	4.53	15.7	19.1	-3.34
Aaron Brooks	7	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	1	0	17.4	17.6	-0.17	18.5	16.5	2.01
Charles Hayes	30	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	4	-6	17.2	17.8	-0.59	16.0	17.0	-1.04
Dikembe Mutombo	30	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	7	-12	18.8	16.9	1.92	17.4	16.3	1.18

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	50	55	0.23	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-8	14	17.0	16.2	0.76	17.7	17.4	0.30
Paul Millsap	28	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	16.6	16.7	-0.12	15.2	19.0	-3.81
Ronnie Price	8	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	18.5	16.5	2.01	12.4	18.3	-5.98
Matt Harpring	30	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	3	-8	17.1	16.5	0.61	15.3	19.1	-3.83
Andrei Kirilenko	52	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-5	8	16.5	17.1	-0.61	19.1	15.3	3.83
Carlos Boozer	68	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-4	6	16.4	18.1	-1.67	17.7	17.2	0.44
Deron Williams	74	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.47	2	-4	6	16.5	18.5	-2.01	18.3	12.4	5.98
Mehmet Okur	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.46	-2	0	-2	17.0	15.1	1.86	18.6	13.6	5.02
Kyle Korver	32	31	-0.72	0.23	-0.95	-0.49	-8	6	-14	16.2	17.0	-0.76	17.4	17.7	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 89, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.46,0.15,0.23,0	92.9%
POR 87, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.09,0,0	92.5%
ATL 118, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.03,0,0	92.4%