NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	9.9 [81]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +41.1%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	7.1 [106]		LVP	Adonal Foyle (GSW): -24.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.12	-0.03	0.16	0.01	26	47%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.13
Chucky Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	16	54%	0.15	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.06
Sasha Vujacic	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	12	55%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Caron Butler	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	13	50%	-0.06	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.07	0.33	-0.02	15	64%	0.56	2	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.19	-0.05	0.05	19	71%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	13	27%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.17	-0.01	14	44%	-0.19	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.19	-0.00	8	35%	-0.02	1	-0.23	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	26.9	16.0	23.2	2.3	31.6	125.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +7.7%

GSW -7.9%

LAL +11.0%

LAL +38.9%

LAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.5	113.0	107.4	104.0
season	15.7	15.0		105.8	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		104.7	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	15.6	15.5	17.8	15.9
GSW	15.7	16.4	13.4	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	68	71	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.52	7	-5	12	15.5	17.1	-1.61	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Chucky Atkins	86	89	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-4	10	16.0	15.5	0.47	14.8	16.8	-2.08
Chris Mihm	52	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.61	-3	5	-8	16.2	15.6	0.64	15.1	14.6	0.42
Tierre Brown	56	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.53	-5	7	-12	17.0	14.3	2.63	15.1	14.6	0.52
Lamar Odom	67	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.51	-7	9	-16	16.9	13.4	3.48	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Brian Grant	17	16	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	-3	8	14.5	16.3	-1.72	16.7	14.5	2.24
Brian Cook	48	48	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.22	9	-7	16	14.8	17.2	-2.35	14.8	15.0	-0.23
Sasha Vujacic	36	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.02	-1	3	-4	15.2	16.4	-1.13	15.3	14.7	0.59
Jumaine Jones	30	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.13	-1	3	-4	15.7	16.0	-0.35	14.5	15.1	-0.53

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	35	34	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.21	-6	4	-10	14.5	15.1	-0.54	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Calbert Cheaney	16	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-2	2	16.4	14.6	1.87	14.8	16.2	-1.44
Clifford Robinson	46	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.44	9	-11	20	15.6	14.2	1.40	16.4	15.5	0.82
Adonal Foyle	59	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	5	-12	14.8	15.0	-0.19	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Mike Dunleavy	83	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-3	4	14.5	17.2	-2.71	16.1	14.5	1.65
Derek Fisher	77	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.54	2	-4	6	15.2	13.3	1.91	16.4	14.1	2.34
Speedy Claxton	74	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	1	-4	14.7	15.5	-0.76	16.0	15.8	0.16
Troy Murphy	85	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.41	-6	4	-10	14.5	17.8	-3.26	15.8	17.0	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.43,0.58,0	92.3%
HOU 113, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.83,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.34,0.27,0	91.8%
SAC 89, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.84,0	91.7%