NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	9.1 [125]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +40.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	14.1 [67]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): -22.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.4	0.05	0.34	-0.01	16	56%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.25	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.17,0.25	-0.03	0.28	0.00	24	48%	0.45	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.01	19	59%	0.07	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	9	28%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	9	17%	-0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.01	16	66%	0.20	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	17	51%	0.14	1	-0.16	5	80%	0.07
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	5	18%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.14	-0.00	11	54%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.12
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	5	17%	-0.12	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	14	38%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.5	28.2	15.5	24.4	2.4	31.7	125.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +90.3%

MIL -33.1%

SAC +1.0%

MIL -7.5%

MIL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.5	93.7	92.5	104.0
season	14.7	16.0		108.1	104.4
opponent	15.0	15.6		107.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.5	16.2	15.5	14.0	14.5
MIL	16.3	15.8	15.8	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	79	77	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.45	15	-12	27	14.3	15.6	-1.23	16.8	12.9	3.84
Brad Miller	67	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	4	-5	14.7	14.0	0.71	15.5	17.9	-2.46
Doug Christie	78	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	14.8	13.4	1.37	15.4	19.8	-4.39
Greg Ostertag	20	19	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-6	15	14.4	14.6	-0.11	19.7	15.2	4.55
Chris Webber	74	72	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	4	-5	14.4	15.0	-0.53	15.5	18.1	-2.62
Peja Stojakovic	81	79	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	6	-9	14.8	13.0	1.80	15.7	18.3	-2.55
Darius Songaila	28	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	3	-3	14.8	14.4	0.35	16.8	15.8	0.98
Matt Barnes	10	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	4	-5	13.8	14.6	-0.82	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Bobby Jackson	38	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	3	-3	13.8	15.0	-1.20	17.2	15.4	1.80

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	34	33	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.13	6	-9	15	16.9	15.7	1.16	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Mo Williams	40	41	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-7	11	15.9	16.3	-0.43	14.8	14.3	0.51
Dan Gadzuric	46	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.06	-1	-2	1	15.9	16.3	-0.41	14.7	14.4	0.35
Desmond Mason	81	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-6	9	15.3	21.3	-5.99	14.4	15.2	-0.71
Zendon Hamilton	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-2	1	16.7	15.8	0.89	15.3	14.1	1.19
Kendall Gill	34	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	2	-7	16.6	15.8	0.83	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Mike James	53	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	16.3	15.9	0.43	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Michael Redd	72	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.48	-6	3	-9	16.5	14.8	1.75	14.6	14.4	0.11
Joe Smith	69	72	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.49	-8	5	-13	15.8	16.9	-1.08	14.2	15.5	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.23,0.58,0	91.7%
CHH 95, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.82,0.55,0.55,0.34,0.74,0	90.5%
MIL 115, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.67,0.58,0	90.1%