NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	9.0 [78]		MVP	Ervin Johnson (MIL): +14.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	94		Comeback	15.5 [25]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -41.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Beck	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	17	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Charles Shackleford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.11,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.07	-0.02	13	62%	0.12	2	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	9	56%	-0.07	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.23
Elden Campbell	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.34,-0.34	-0.19	-0.16	-0.01	11	49%	-0.03	6	-0.31	17	65%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	5	62%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	6	75%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23	-0.23	0.00	-0.21	0.03	9	55%	-0.08	1	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.31	-0.31	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	19	33%	-0.27	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.32,-0.42	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	18	52%	-0.04	6	-0.38	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.5	27.8	15.0	26.2	1.6	40.0	135.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -11.7%

CHH +64.4%

MIL -4.2%

MIL -0.4%

CHH +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.8	100.0	98.9	99.6
season	15.7	15.8		99.2	102.4
opponent	16.4	15.5		100.9	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.1	15.8	14.7	13.0	14.9
MIL	13.9	14.8	14.1	19.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	82	80	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.48	8	-7	15	15.0	14.5	0.44	15.5	14.9	0.63
Chucky Brown	74	75	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-8	17	15.0	14.7	0.26	15.7	14.4	1.27
David Wesley	81	83	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-3	7	14.4	17.6	-3.20	15.5	14.8	0.65
Bobby Phills	87	87	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-5	11	14.9	14.9	0.04	15.7	11.9	3.85
Eddie Jones	82	82	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.51	3	-2	5	14.5	17.8	-3.31	15.1	17.3	-2.21
Charles Shackleford	14	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	8	-15	13.6	15.1	-1.49	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Ricky Davis	4	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	5	-9	21.0	14.6	6.35	9.0	15.7	-6.68
Corey Beck	14	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	4	-7	17.6	14.4	3.20	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Eldridge Recasner	17	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	4	-7	15.6	14.8	0.89	16.7	15.1	1.59
Chuck Person	20	20	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.06	-8	9	-17	15.3	14.8	0.55	14.4	15.7	-1.27

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	34	36	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.02	12	-13	25	13.1	16.7	-3.51	16.5	13.9	2.55
Tim Thomas	36	34	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-7	13	16.4	14.8	1.59	15.4	14.6	0.77
Chris Gatling	34	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	1	-3	17.1	14.5	2.58	14.5	15.1	-0.55
Vinny Del Negro	35	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	0	-1	16.5	14.7	1.81	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Dell Curry	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-1	1	17.7	15.3	2.45	18.7	14.8	3.87
Ray Allen	84	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.51	6	-7	13	14.9	19.1	-4.17	15.3	12.0	3.26
Michael Curry	62	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.60	3	-4	7	14.2	17.7	-3.52	15.2	14.3	0.88
Glenn Robinson	68	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.52	-4	3	-7	14.4	17.9	-3.53	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Haywoode Workman	67	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.49	-7	6	-13	15.3	15.7	-0.45	14.5	15.9	-1.36
Ervin Johnson	51	48	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.31	-18	17	-35	17.9	12.5	5.44	13.5	16.3	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.82,0.55,0.55,0.34,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 111, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.42,0	90.8%
SAC 89, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.84,0	90.5%
LAL 104, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.23,0.58,0	90.4%