NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	4.7 [843]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +17.3%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	1.0 [910]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	16	56%	0.07	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	13	46%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.22	-0.03	-0.03	24	35%	-0.12	4	-0.11	9	78%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.02	11	77%	0.21	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.19	-0.03	0.04	31	61%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	16	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.4	30.9	19.7	27.4	3.6	30.3	140.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +44.4%

PHI -5.6%

PHI -9.7%

TOR +18.8%

TOR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.7	15.5	100.0	114.8	100.9
season	15.7	15.8		101.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	17.7	15.3	16.6	15.8
TOR	14.6	15.8	18.3	18.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	31	31	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.23	8	-20	28	12.8	17.5	-4.66	17.0	16.5	0.51
Raja Bell	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-21	30	10.8	16.1	-5.34	17.2	16.7	0.53
Kevin Ollie	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-20	28	12.1	16.4	-4.28	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Todd MacCulloch	11	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.41	13	-25	38	12.6	16.3	-3.66	18.8	16.4	2.46
Eric Snow	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	15.5	16.2	-0.65	18.4	14.6	3.84
Jumaine Jones	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	5	-22	17.2	14.5	2.69	16.0	17.3	-1.30
Tyrone Hill	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-6	0	15.6	16.9	-1.34	16.1	19.2	-3.17
Dikembe Mutombo	76	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.22	-21	9	-30	16.4	12.8	3.51	16.5	17.5	-1.00
Allen Iverson	82	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	8	-28	16.5	8.0	8.51	16.7	17.3	-0.63
Aaron McKie	68	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.13	-27	15	-42	17.0	12.2	4.78	16.3	17.9	-1.61

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	67	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.13	27	-15	42	16.4	17.5	-1.08	16.9	12.2	4.70
Jerome Williams	30	31	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-9	30	17.8	16.1	1.71	18.5	14.4	4.10
Vince Carter	77	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-9	30	16.8	15.8	1.01	16.5	10.7	5.79
Antonio Davis	69	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	8	-4	16.5	17.6	-1.12	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Chris Childs	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	9	-6	16.5	16.9	-0.38	15.1	16.4	-1.35
Charles Oakley	69	69	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.19	12	0	12	16.6	17.1	-0.51	16.0	15.4	0.57
Alvin Williams	66	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.17	10	2	8	16.9	16.0	0.94	15.4	17.0	-1.62
Tracy Murray	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	21	-30	17.2	16.7	0.53	10.8	16.1	-5.34
Dell Curry	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	21	-30	17.2	16.7	0.53	10.8	16.1	-5.34
Michael Stewart	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	15.5	16.8	-1.26	5.3	16.2	-10.88
Eric Montross	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	15.5	16.8	-1.26	7.7	16.2	-8.47
Keon Clark	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	15.5	16.8	-1.26	7.7	16.2	-8.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.96,1,1,0.98,1,0.98,1,1	95.4%
ORL 102, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	95.3%
IND 87, LAL 104	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%