inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 87 Excitement4.6 [874] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +14.6%
Los Angeles Lakers 104 Comeback1.1 [882] LVPReggie Miller (IND): -14.2%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Jackson0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.030.01886%0.1400.00580%0.02
Dale Davis0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03575%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Austin Croshere0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01776%0.073-0.04757%-0.03
Chris Mullin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jonathan Bender0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zan Tabak0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Perkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00542%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Rik Smits-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.02-0.021246%0.014-0.062100%0.01
Derrick McKey-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Travis Best-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01729%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.080,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.020.021250%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Reggie Miller-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.19-0.02-0.071619%-0.1400.005100%0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.150.030.033163%0.182-0.03617%-0.05
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.02-0.02560%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.010.04492%0.041-0.014100%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.04-0.011350%0.062-0.042100%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.090.05-0.05922%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Travis Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01671%0.041-0.03560%-0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00462%0.021-0.0200%0.00
John Salley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02633%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Glen Rice0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.14-0.00-0.03817%-0.082-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.730.219.527.32.729.3136.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +41.3%
IND -17.3%
LAL +17.9%
LAL +5.8%
LAL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDLALNBAINDLALNBA
this game14.416.615.293.5111.8101.7
season15.415.3106.5105.6
opponent15.115.198.1101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.114.312.915.314.4
LAL14.217.817.816.716.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zan Tabak660.00-0.500.500.000-17179.514.7-5.2116.516.6-0.07
Jonathan Bender440.00-0.500.50-0.062-192110.714.5-3.7916.016.6-0.60
Chris Mullin98-0.05-0.450.410.10-5-12714.314.4-0.0513.516.9-3.36
Sam Perkins4041-0.19-0.310.11-0.190-171715.213.81.4016.516.6-0.06
Dale Davis5352-0.21-0.290.090.15-12-5-714.614.10.4816.716.30.41
Mark Jackson5758-0.21-0.290.090.12-11-6-513.515.7-2.2016.017.5-1.47
Derrick McKey2323-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-141115.713.91.8117.116.40.69
Rik Smits3939-0.25-0.250.010.08-11-6-514.314.4-0.1616.616.6-0.01
Travis Best3635-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.12-6-11515.713.52.2017.516.01.47
Jalen Rose7070-0.33-0.17-0.170.22-192-2114.314.6-0.3116.317.5-1.21
Austin Croshere5050-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-11-6-514.514.20.2716.316.8-0.50
Reggie Miller7879-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.11-9-8-114.016.2-2.1717.113.73.36

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal84840.55-0.050.600.0218-11916.616.40.1414.99.15.83
Robert Horry46450.53-0.030.55-0.0620-32316.117.1-1.0014.414.30.09
Derek Fisher35350.300.200.110.13611-517.516.01.4716.113.32.83
Kobe Bryant75760.270.230.05-0.161521316.019.0-3.0114.314.8-0.55
Rick Fox45430.250.250.00-0.0198116.616.60.0215.913.12.80
Brian Shaw35340.230.27-0.040.11413-917.715.91.8313.015.2-2.22
Ron Harper41410.190.31-0.11-0.0798115.917.1-1.2414.214.5-0.28
Glen Rice53550.130.37-0.230.11116-1516.916.10.7413.316.0-2.70
A.C. Green42430.090.41-0.32-0.03413-916.716.50.2614.214.5-0.27
John Salley660.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1312.216.9-4.7110.814.6-3.79
Travis Knight33-0.050.55-0.600.04-320-2325.016.38.715.714.7-9.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 110, PHX 1190.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,1,0.99,0.99,0.9,0.98,0.99,195.0%
GSW 71, SAS 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
CHI 92, IND 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.7%