NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	4.6 [869]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +16.3%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	1.0 [815]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -18.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	8	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	80%	0.06	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	14	61%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	18	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	20	45%	-0.09	4	-0.09	11	64%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	5	110%	0.19	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.03	0.06	16	81%	0.20	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	19	71%	0.20	5	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.03	-0.10	10	54%	0.09	4	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	32.2	15.7	27.2	2.5	28.4	129.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.8%

MIN -2.0%

IND +5.0%

MIN -19.2%

IND +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	17.5	15.5	116.3	126.4	100.9
season	15.0	15.9		102.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.9		99.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	16.9	15.6	14.5	15.8
IND	14.5	19.1	19.6	17.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	10	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-12	14	14.8	15.9	-1.11	18.6	17.4	1.24
Reggie Slater	20	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-6	2	16.2	15.6	0.61	18.4	17.3	1.10
Rasho Nesterovic	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-5	0	17.8	15.2	2.60	15.9	17.9	-1.97
Anthony Peeler	62	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-9	8	14.7	18.6	-3.95	16.8	19.5	-2.68
Sam Mitchell	22	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	18.5	14.8	3.72	18.4	17.2	1.15
Wally Szczerbiak	69	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	14.7	20.2	-5.55	17.4	18.0	-0.61
Chauncey Billups	24	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	18.6	14.7	3.95	19.5	16.8	2.68
LaPhonso Ellis	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	15.8	15.7	0.14	18.0	16.9	1.14
Kevin Garnett	79	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-1	-8	15.3	21.4	-6.15	17.2	21.5	-4.29
Terrell Brandon	81	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	1	-12	16.0	12.8	3.16	17.4	19.6	-2.22

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zan Tabak	65	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-5	20	17.5	17.5	0.01	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Reggie Miller	75	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-1	12	17.2	19.7	-2.51	15.3	18.8	-3.55
Jalen Rose	81	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	2	6	17.8	14.2	3.59	15.5	19.6	-4.06
Austin Croshere	39	37	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.26	2	8	-6	16.4	18.4	-2.08	17.3	14.7	2.62
Derrick McKey	41	38	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	6	-2	17.2	17.7	-0.50	16.5	15.2	1.24
Travis Best	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	5	0	18.0	17.0	1.03	15.8	15.7	0.11
Al Harrington	22	22	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	4	2	16.4	17.9	-1.53	15.5	15.9	-0.31
Sam Perkins	33	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	8	-6	18.7	16.8	1.97	15.4	16.0	-0.66
Jermaine O'Neal	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	18.7	16.9	1.78	15.5	15.9	-0.45
Jeff Foster	10	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	16	-22	16.5	17.6	-1.14	16.3	15.7	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.96,1,1,0.98,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ORL 102, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	94.7%
MIA 87, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%