NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	5.2 [780]		MVP	Jake Voskuhl (CHA): +8.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	108		Comeback	1.0 [1313]		LVP	Carlos Arroyo (ORL): -13.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	9	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.03	18	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.03	10	70%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Darko Milicic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Carlos Arroyo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	-0.00	0.06	13	69%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	22	54%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	7	85%	0.15	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	16	38%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.2	14.8	27.1	2.5	45.5	145.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +3.6%

CHA +8.5%

CHA +23.9%

CHA +9.7%

CHA +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.6	108.5	113.7	104.4
season	16.4	14.8		104.4	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.1	15.4	14.3	14.6	15.4
CHA	14.3	13.9	16.3	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-4	2	13.2	16.4	-3.27	13.6	15.9	-2.29
Tony Battie	47	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-7	8	15.8	14.9	0.83	16.3	14.0	2.31
Bo Outlaw	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	2	-10	12.3	15.7	-3.34	14.6	15.2	-0.55
Dwight Howard	75	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.46	10	-16	26	15.7	14.1	1.63	15.0	15.7	-0.71
DeShawn Stevenson	55	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	15.3	15.5	-0.23	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Darko Milicic	22	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	4	-14	16.1	15.1	0.97	15.7	14.9	0.75
Keyon Dooling	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-2	-2	14.3	16.4	-2.06	15.1	15.1	0.04
Trevor Ariza	37	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	4	-14	15.6	15.2	0.49	15.2	15.1	0.15
Hedo Turkoglu	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-7	8	15.9	12.1	3.85	15.2	14.9	0.32
Jameer Nelson	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.8	14.2	1.64	14.9	15.7	-0.73

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard Robinson	85	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	15.0	16.4	-1.42	15.1	16.9	-1.82
Raymond Felton	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	-3	12	14.7	16.9	-2.25	15.3	15.4	-0.05
Jumaine Jones	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	0	6	15.8	13.8	2.05	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Gerald Wallace	79	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	15.4	14.0	1.35	15.7	13.7	2.00
Jake Voskuhl	27	28	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-3	12	14.8	15.3	-0.49	15.7	15.2	0.47
Primoz Brezec	65	63	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	6	-6	15.8	13.7	2.13	15.7	14.7	1.01
Matt Carroll	32	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	2	2	14.9	15.2	-0.33	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Alan Anderson	27	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	6	-6	13.6	15.7	-2.19	16.3	15.0	1.38
Kevin Burleson	23	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	12	-18	15.2	15.1	0.06	14.0	15.8	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 100, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.96,1,1,0.98,1,0.98,1,1	94.7%
MIL 74, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%