NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	86		Excitement	8.5 [152]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +6.7%
Sacramento Kings	83		Comeback	2.4 [328]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -47.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	16	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	18	47%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.08	5	-0.14	3	67%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.16	-0.06	-0.04	19	43%	-0.02	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	64%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	17	36%	-0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	11	42%	-0.15	1	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.42,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47	-0.47	-0.24	-0.23	0.00	32	39%	-0.23	7	-0.24	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	32.4	19.4	25.4	2.7	36.2	142.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +75.4%

SAC -6.3%

SAC -32.8%

PHX +11.3%

PHX +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	15.7	15.5	87.8	85.6	100.9
season	14.9	14.4		97.7	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.8	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.1	16.7	12.9	14.1	13.8
SAC	15.1	15.3	15.9	16.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	83	85	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.50	11	-8	19	13.6	15.2	-1.61	15.4	17.7	-2.33
Clifford Robinson	67	68	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.47	7	-4	11	13.8	14.0	-0.19	15.8	15.5	0.28
Jason Kidd	92	90	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.45	2	1	1	13.5	18.3	-4.79	15.3	20.6	-5.24
Rodney Rogers	51	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	-1	5	15.1	12.4	2.71	17.2	14.1	3.09
Mario Elie	66	64	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	2	-1	13.1	15.4	-2.33	14.7	17.6	-2.87
Jake Tsakalidis	43	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	2	-1	12.2	15.1	-2.90	14.5	16.6	-2.12
Vinny Del Negro	6	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	2	-1	18.3	13.5	4.79	20.6	15.3	5.24
Tony Delk	41	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	15.5	12.6	2.84	17.2	14.6	2.58
Tom Gugliotta	41	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	10	-17	14.1	13.6	0.45	15.6	15.8	-0.16

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	24	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.19	9	-12	21	15.9	15.6	0.27	14.7	13.5	1.25
Jon Barry	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-4	5	20.6	15.3	5.24	18.3	13.5	4.79
Scot Pollard	28	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-5	7	16.6	15.4	1.21	15.2	13.2	1.96
Bobby Jackson	37	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-1	-1	17.6	14.5	3.04	14.9	13.2	1.65
Jason Williams	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-2	1	14.3	18.1	-3.77	13.2	14.9	-1.65
Vlade Divac	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	5	-13	16.0	14.9	1.08	13.7	14.3	-0.63
Doug Christie	90	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	1	-5	15.3	20.6	-5.24	13.5	18.3	-4.79
Chris Webber	89	90	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	15.7	16.1	-0.45	13.3	20.1	-6.85
Peja Stojakovic	78	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	3	-9	15.3	17.3	-2.00	13.8	14.0	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 114, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.07,0	93.4%
LAL 88, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.58,0.68,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.6%
DEN 95, LAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.06,0.03,0.05,0	92.4%