inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 114 Excitement7.5 [316] MVPEarl Boykins (GSW): +27.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 110 Comeback2.0 [176] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -10.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.270.070.200.001076%0.322-0.041100%0.00
Jason Richardson0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.140.060.090.011165%0.181-0.044100%0.03
Antawn Jamison0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.030.002060%0.142-0.0610100%0.07
Adonal Foyle0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00767%0.071-0.0310%-0.03
Troy Murphy0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.020.01685%0.071-0.031100%0.01
Bob Sura-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00650%0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Erick Dampier-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.00470%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Gilbert Arenas-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.011347%-0.042-0.04475%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.070.10-0.03867%0.2000.002100%0.03
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.060.060.040.02-0.00583%0.112-0.062100%0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.011856%0.011-0.02771%-0.04
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01658%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.05-0.080.012062%0.083-0.13540%-0.09
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.010.00425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.02633%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1-0.100.00-0.090.021762%0.115-0.21367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.523.316.427.62.638.2135.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +11.2%
GSW +17.6%
GSW +7.3%
GSW +11.5%
GSW +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game15.516.015.5123.9120.9101.6
season14.615.4105.3105.0
opponent15.115.1102.8106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.912.914.620.715.5
LAL16.416.514.816.416.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Richardson66650.60-0.100.710.378-41215.515.50.0216.115.70.43
Antawn Jamison85840.50-0.000.510.3940415.515.30.2115.621.3-5.73
Bob Sura47480.490.010.470.4031216.914.02.8116.415.50.88
Earl Boykins44440.410.090.330.3813-216.314.71.5216.515.60.88
Troy Murphy51510.280.220.060.2222015.515.40.1615.516.7-1.25
Erick Dampier30300.260.240.03-0.0611-71814.615.9-1.3516.915.61.34
Mike Dunleavy2927-0.010.51-0.53-0.0104-415.015.7-0.6517.415.41.95
Adonal Foyle5050-0.010.51-0.530.16-610-1615.515.40.1416.215.80.40
Gilbert Arenas5856-0.020.52-0.550.06-37-1014.317.5-3.1615.017.6-2.60

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kareem Rush35340.05-0.550.59-0.043-71016.815.51.3515.815.30.55
Tracy Murray010.03-0.530.57-0.032-680.016.0-16.000.015.6-15.65
Robert Horry5657-0.10-0.400.30-0.379-132214.917.7-2.7415.815.00.77
Devean George4240-0.16-0.340.18-0.284-81216.715.41.3316.814.52.34
Shaquille O'Neal6769-0.19-0.310.13-0.221-5616.414.71.7016.412.73.77
Kobe Bryant7374-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.38-2-2016.115.50.6215.913.91.91
Samaki Walker4544-0.510.01-0.520.08-2016-3616.615.41.2713.417.4-3.97
Rick Fox5860-0.550.05-0.61-0.35-73-1015.217.4-2.1415.016.4-1.37
Derek Fisher7981-0.630.13-0.75-0.33-106-1615.717.9-2.2115.019.0-4.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.07,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 86, SAC 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.07,0.02,0.02,093.4%
NOP 111, DET 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.01,092.4%
LAL 88, CHI 760.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.58,0.68,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.01,0,092.3%