NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	6.9 [443]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +20.3%
Chicago Bulls	76		Comeback	2.6 [723]		LVP	Ron Harper (LAL): -18.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.14	-0.02	7	79%	0.27	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	16	66%	0.08	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.09
Kobe Bryant	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.02	0.03	0.05	14	66%	0.09	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	7	0%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	7	19%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.12	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	57%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.01	14	41%	-0.02	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.01	14	29%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.7	28.8	18.5	23.4	2.7	33.2	132.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -1.0%

LAL +15.4%

LAL +19.6%

LAL +15.2%

LAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.2	97.8	85.4	101.7
season	15.3	16.5		105.6	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	15.2	15.4	16.2	15.3
CHI	16.2	16.1	19.6	15.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	78	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-5	22	15.2	16.2	-1.10	17.1	15.4	1.70
Shaquille O'Neal	87	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	15.5	8.3	7.21	17.2	7.7	9.54
Rick Fox	28	29	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	2	8	14.3	15.8	-1.47	16.6	17.0	-0.50
A.C. Green	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	0	12	15.2	15.8	-0.62	16.8	17.2	-0.42
Ron Harper	44	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	6	0	15.6	15.0	0.57	15.2	18.5	-3.24
Derek Fisher	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	4	4	14.6	15.9	-1.36	19.0	15.1	3.87
Robert Horry	23	21	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	12	-12	16.7	14.8	1.93	16.7	16.9	-0.23
Brian Shaw	28	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.20	-5	17	-22	16.1	15.0	1.12	15.8	17.4	-1.54
Travis Knight	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	8.3	15.5	-7.21	7.7	17.2	-9.54
Glen Rice	47	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	12	-12	15.6	15.0	0.53	17.3	16.5	0.77

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-15	18	16.7	17.0	-0.36	14.9	15.5	-0.67
Matt Maloney	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-14	16	16.5	17.1	-0.60	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Michael Ruffin	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-10	8	14.9	17.4	-2.51	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Hersey Hawkins	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-10	8	18.1	16.5	1.62	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Chris Carr	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-6	0	16.1	17.4	-1.32	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Metta World Peace	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-8	4	16.9	16.8	0.09	16.2	13.4	2.85
Dickey Simpkins	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	17.4	16.3	1.11	16.1	14.4	1.72
Randy Brown	53	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	2	-16	17.1	16.5	0.60	15.3	15.3	0.04
Toni Kukoc	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	0	-12	16.8	17.1	-0.27	15.9	13.7	2.17
Elton Brand	74	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	4	-20	17.2	15.4	1.79	15.0	17.1	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.58,0.68,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 115, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.15,0.05,0,0,0	92.7%
PHX 86, SAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	92.6%
GSW 114, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.07,0	92.3%