NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	115		Excitement	7.4 [388]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +22.0%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	2.1 [867]		LVP	Trey Burke (NYK): -18.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.08	0.05	9	88%	0.25	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Tony Snell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.01	9	56%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.00	4	100%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.02	13	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.03	22	44%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Jabari Parker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	69%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	14	58%	0.14	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hicks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	14	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	13	29%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	24.2	14.7	25.2	2.4	28.5	123.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.1%

MIL +10.1%

MIL +13.2%

MIL +5.7%

NYK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	15.9	14.7	118.6	106.2	107.5
season	14.3	14.9		108.5	105.9
opponent	14.5	15.4		109.3	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.2	15.4	14.2	14.0	14.0
NYK	17.0	14.0	16.5	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	62	60	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-2	17	13.4	15.1	-1.69	17.3	13.5	3.80
Khris Middleton	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-4	21	12.9	17.1	-4.18	16.7	13.3	3.39
Jabari Parker	75	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	0	13	14.1	13.7	0.33	16.1	15.2	0.90
Jason Terry	45	45	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-1	15	14.1	13.9	0.16	15.4	16.3	-0.98
John Henson	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	7	-1	14.2	13.5	0.72	16.3	15.1	1.29
Tony Snell	61	61	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	10	-7	14.0	13.9	0.06	16.5	14.7	1.78
Tyler Zeller	36	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	6	1	13.5	14.2	-0.72	15.1	16.3	-1.29
Brandon Jennings	35	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	15	-17	15.1	13.4	1.69	13.5	17.3	-3.80
Thon Maker	37	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.02	-8	21	-29	15.7	12.9	2.83	13.3	17.4	-4.11

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	17	17	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-19	25	14.8	16.1	-1.35	14.8	13.8	1.02
Isaiah Hicks	33	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-12	11	14.2	16.8	-2.58	14.6	13.6	1.02
Luke Kornet	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-12	11	14.3	17.0	-2.68	14.3	13.8	0.55
Frank Ntilikina	60	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-7	1	16.1	15.4	0.73	14.1	13.7	0.45
Jarrett Jack	53	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-13	13	15.1	16.9	-1.83	14.0	14.0	0.05
Damyean Dotson	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-11	9	14.8	17.6	-2.78	14.4	13.3	1.12
Trey Burke	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-1	-11	16.4	14.9	1.56	13.9	14.1	-0.12
Kyle O'Quinn	57	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	17.0	14.3	2.68	13.8	14.3	-0.55
Courtney Lee	54	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.03	-19	6	-25	16.9	14.6	2.32	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Michael Beasley	46	45	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.12	-18	5	-23	17.5	14.4	3.12	13.2	14.7	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.15,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.58,0.68,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.7%
SAC 101, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.05,0	91.9%
GSW 97, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	91.6%