NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	8.6 [151]		MVP	Billy Owens (SAC): +12.3%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	1.8 [588]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (DEN): -19.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	16	66%	0.18	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.07
Mitch Richmond	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	22	64%	0.19	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.06
Mark Hendrickson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Michael Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	42%	-0.06	1	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Michael Stewart	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	9	20%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.07,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	8	75%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	11	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-0.19	-0.01	8	78%	0.12	4	-0.29	7	86%	0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	18	50%	0.00	3	-0.18	10	70%	-0.04
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.08	0.02	12	47%	-0.00	4	-0.19	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	32.4	15.4	24.4	2.4	30.5	130.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +4.5%

SAC +14.9%

DEN -2.4%

SAC +37.6%

DEN -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DEN	NBA	SAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.6	111.0	107.6	102.5
season	15.2	16.2		98.5	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.5	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	14.6	15.8	14.5	14.8
DEN	19.2	14.8	17.7	15.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Owens	77	77	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-6	14	14.7	15.1	-0.44	16.8	16.3	0.43
Michael Stewart	69	68	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	14.8	14.8	-0.00	17.2	15.3	1.90
Anthony Johnson	63	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-2	6	14.4	15.6	-1.16	16.8	16.5	0.34
Corliss Williamson	67	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-1	4	14.8	14.7	0.03	16.8	16.5	0.22
Mitch Richmond	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	1	0	15.0	13.3	1.71	16.7	16.4	0.32
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	0	2	15.6	14.7	0.93	14.7	16.9	-2.24
Olden Polynice	17	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	3	-4	13.0	15.2	-2.18	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Bobby Hurley	28	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	15.6	14.4	1.16	16.5	16.8	-0.34
Mark Hendrickson	22	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	5	-8	15.4	14.6	0.78	17.1	16.6	0.52
Michael Smith	15	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	7	-12	15.1	14.7	0.44	14.2	17.2	-2.96
Terry Dehere	9	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	5	-8	13.6	14.9	-1.35	17.6	16.6	1.01

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	28	26	0.04	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-6	10	16.1	16.9	-0.79	15.2	14.6	0.54
Tony Battie	46	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	4	-10	17.9	15.5	2.35	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Eric Washington	60	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	17.6	15.0	2.65	15.5	13.4	2.10
Joe Wolf	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	1	-4	17.3	16.3	1.00	15.1	14.6	0.56
LaPhonso Ellis	74	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-7	12	16.6	17.1	-0.45	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Dean Garrett	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-2	2	16.6	16.8	-0.22	15.0	14.5	0.55
Anthony Goldwire	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	15.5	18.0	-2.59	14.9	14.6	0.35
Bobby Jackson	66	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	2	-6	16.9	16.2	0.65	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Johnny Newman	56	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.52	-4	2	-6	15.7	18.3	-2.60	13.9	16.0	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 85, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,0	92.8%
IND 92, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.19,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	92.7%
LAL 88, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.58,0.68,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.1%