NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.1 [198]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +29.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	2.4 [552]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -17.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.19	0.01	19	62%	0.33	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Travis Best	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	0.00	10	71%	0.26	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	16	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Jalen Rose	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.06,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	17	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zan Tabak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.11	0.00	6	82%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	8	62%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.09	0.09	-0.07	0.16	0.01	11	39%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	14	53%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	15	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	1	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	10	36%	-0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	28.2	15.8	24.8	1.7	30.2	125.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -8.8%

IND +39.4%

IND +17.1%

CLE -4.1%

IND +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	17.8	15.2	15.5	105.7	102.3	100.9
season	15.9	15.3		99.3	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.0	17.3	18.0	17.7	17.8
CLE	16.3	17.0	14.0	13.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	62	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-6	14	18.0	17.3	0.69	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Austin Croshere	32	34	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-2	6	19.9	16.5	3.43	15.1	15.2	-0.02
Jalen Rose	84	84	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-2	6	17.7	20.7	-3.00	15.4	10.5	4.88
Reggie Miller	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-2	6	17.4	19.9	-2.49	14.7	17.1	-2.40
Travis Best	52	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	-1	4	17.8	17.7	0.14	14.7	15.9	-1.25
Derrick McKey	10	11	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	3	-4	20.4	17.4	2.97	18.8	14.6	4.18
Sam Perkins	20	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	4	-6	16.4	18.2	-1.71	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Jeff Foster	4	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	3	-4	18.5	17.7	0.77	13.4	15.3	-1.87
Zan Tabak	38	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	5	-8	17.0	18.4	-1.41	16.2	14.4	1.82
Al Harrington	60	61	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	8	-14	17.4	18.5	-1.03	14.8	16.0	-1.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Gatling	33	31	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-7	12	13.5	16.2	-2.73	20.6	16.2	4.47
Lamond Murray	50	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-7	12	13.8	17.0	-3.19	18.8	16.4	2.40
Chucky Brown	18	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	3	-8	15.5	15.1	0.43	17.1	18.0	-0.90
Cedric Henderson	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	16.9	14.1	2.76	16.5	18.6	-2.13
Andre Miller	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-3	4	14.7	16.0	-1.35	16.9	19.6	-2.72
Bimbo Coles	32	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	1	-4	15.5	14.9	0.58	19.6	16.8	2.74
Jim Jackson	60	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	14.9	15.7	-0.81	18.1	17.2	0.87
Chris Mihm	51	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	0	-2	16.1	13.9	2.14	16.3	19.8	-3.55
Wesley Person	32	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	8	-18	16.0	14.7	1.32	17.1	18.2	-1.10
Clar. Weatherspoon	73	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	0	-2	15.4	13.9	1.56	17.7	18.0	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.19,0.37,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, VAN 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	92.8%
SAC 101, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.05,0	92.7%
DET 102, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.05,0.04,0	92.6%