inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 95 Excitement7.8 [290] MVPRaymond Felton (DEN): +18.4%
Los Angeles Lakers 90 Comeback3.5 [177] LVPTy Lawson (DEN): -17.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raymond Felton0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18-0.000.18-0.011552%0.263-0.071100%0.01
Kenyon Martin0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.110.050.070.011556%0.131-0.022100%0.02
Timofey Mozgov0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.06-0.00456%0.0900.001100%0.01
Danilo Gallinari0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.080.05-0.00-0.041359%0.142-0.061145%-0.06
Nene0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00857%0.102-0.09540%-0.06
Wilson Chandler-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.02-0.01935%-0.021-0.01250%-0.00
Al Harrington-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.040.00460%0.022-0.07250%-0.01
J.R. Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.02825%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.030.00631%-0.025-0.16475%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.060.00362%0.0800.00250%-0.02
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01540%0.0200.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.03542%0.042-0.072100%0.02
Andrew Bynum0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.01757%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.03-0.09-0.001070%0.154-0.21367%-0.01
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.031745%0.053-0.10425%-0.07
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.050.00250%-0.012-0.0800%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.002744%-0.042-0.05989%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.00831%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.82.638.818.027.23.441.8158.6
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +28.5%
DEN +4.8%
LAL -1.8%
DEN +18.7%
LAL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game13.715.415.596.090.9105.7
season14.315.9110.7108.8
opponent15.515.5103.1106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.512.713.816.013.7
LAL15.815.016.214.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenyon Martin73720.420.080.350.256-1713.015.5-2.4715.216.1-0.96
Danilo Gallinari86840.420.080.330.3041313.018.1-5.0715.316.0-0.69
Raymond Felton62620.380.120.260.41-16-714.113.01.1214.716.7-2.01
Wilson Chandler61610.260.240.020.2023-113.613.8-0.2315.215.7-0.52
Nene68680.260.240.020.32-27-913.414.4-0.9915.215.8-0.62
Timofey Mozgov31310.240.26-0.030.0950514.113.50.6116.415.01.46
Ty Lawson60620.220.28-0.060.027-2913.514.0-0.4916.214.12.09
J.R. Smith31310.150.35-0.190.1214-315.812.73.1515.415.40.01
Al Harrington23240.150.35-0.200.0632115.313.22.0616.215.11.10

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake3937-0.06-0.440.370.05-4-1-316.015.00.9213.713.60.08
Lamar Odom6364-0.17-0.330.17-0.284-91314.916.3-1.3614.212.61.62
Kobe Bryant7878-0.22-0.280.07-0.303-81115.415.6-0.2013.614.0-0.47
Andrew Bynum6463-0.23-0.270.030.03-94-1316.014.41.5213.314.4-1.16
Shannon Brown2423-0.24-0.260.02-0.01-83-1113.815.9-2.0913.613.7-0.09
Derek Fisher6768-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.321-6715.315.6-0.3113.713.50.19
Pau Gasol6667-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-5515.415.40.0313.514.1-0.62
Metta World Peace5960-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.360-5515.415.4-0.0213.513.9-0.36
Matt Barnes3535-0.580.08-0.67-0.23-127-1916.115.10.9914.113.40.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.06,0.03,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 123, ORL 1190.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.08,092.6%
PHX 86, SAC 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.07,0.02,0.02,092.4%
DAL 94, UTA 770.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.22,0.08,0.01,0,0,091.8%