NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	6.4 [557]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +35.4%
Utah Jazz	77		Comeback	2.6 [664]		LVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): -14.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.18	0.19	0.01	7	100%	0.40	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.05
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	8	41%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.02	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.05	7	59%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.02	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	-0.03	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	21	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	0.00	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	9	30%	-0.06	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	7	25%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	29.6	15.8	24.5	1.0	31.6	130.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.8%

DAL +17.0%

UTA -7.9%

DAL +10.7%

DAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.5	103.3	82.8	105.7
season	15.7	15.9		108.5	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		108.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	17.6	12.4	14.9	14.7
UTA	15.5	19.4	16.4	15.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	38	40	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-1	19	13.8	15.3	-1.49	15.6	17.3	-1.67
Jason Terry	52	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-3	23	14.4	15.0	-0.56	17.9	14.9	3.00
Tyson Chandler	52	51	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	5	7	14.5	14.9	-0.47	15.8	17.6	-1.81
Shawn Marion	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	6	5	13.9	16.7	-2.81	15.9	18.5	-2.69
Jason Kidd	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	6	5	13.9	16.7	-2.81	15.9	18.3	-2.41
DeShawn Stevenson	9	10	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	13	-9	18.9	14.2	4.67	16.1	16.7	-0.56
Brendan Haywood	10	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	15	-13	19.8	14.0	5.75	21.2	15.9	5.24
Peja Stojakovic	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	13	-9	14.8	14.6	0.29	19.1	14.9	4.23
Brian Cardinal	6	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	21.5	14.2	7.30	14.5	16.8	-2.30
Ian Mahinmi	29	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.12	3	14	-11	13.3	15.3	-2.06	16.2	16.8	-0.64
Dirk Nowitzki	58	59	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	19	-21	15.1	13.9	1.26	16.8	16.2	0.67
Rodrigue Beaubois	30	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.11	0	17	-17	15.9	14.1	1.77	16.0	16.9	-0.98

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	60	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.20	-7	-10	3	16.2	17.4	-1.18	14.8	14.5	0.21
CJ Miles	71	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-8	-1	15.3	21.0	-5.70	13.7	18.0	-4.38
Derrick Favors	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-4	-9	18.1	15.7	2.38	15.0	14.5	0.47
Al Jefferson	76	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-6	-5	16.8	15.6	1.24	15.3	11.9	3.44
Paul Millsap	75	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-7	-3	15.7	20.4	-4.76	13.9	17.9	-4.00
Raja Bell	77	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-7	-3	16.0	19.5	-3.50	15.2	12.2	2.97
Gordon Hayward	37	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-5	-7	19.2	14.9	4.25	15.1	14.4	0.69
Earl Watson	34	36	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	-4	-9	18.7	15.4	3.36	15.1	14.4	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.22,0.08,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	92.4%
NYK 100, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.08,0	92.1%
MIA 99, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.1%