NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	123		Excitement	8.1 [207]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +47.6%
Orlando Magic	119		Comeback	2.9 [69]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -10.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Carlos Navarro	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.36	0.18	0.21	0.04	13	79%	0.42	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.13	0.03	21	65%	0.32	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	15	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Kyle Lowry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.24	0.25	0.02	11	79%	0.49	1	-0.02	17	65%	-0.07
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.01	13	62%	0.17	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.04	0.04	12	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Augustine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.08	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	33%	0.01	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.12	0.02	17	60%	0.02	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.7	26.1	16.5	28.5	3.4	40.9	148.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +47.6%

ORL -19.6%

ORL -2.7%

MEM +18.8%

MEM +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.9	15.4	118.3	120.2	105.7
season	14.9	15.1		103.3	109.9
opponent	15.6	14.9		104.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.0	14.9	14.7	14.2	14.4
ORL	12.7	15.1	12.5	15.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	45	41	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.41	9	-5	14	14.5	14.4	0.08	16.1	12.4	3.68
Kyle Lowry	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-5	14	15.2	13.3	1.87	15.1	12.2	2.86
Juan Carlos Navarro	87	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	2	0	14.4	14.5	-0.13	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Rudy Gay	86	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	2	0	14.6	13.6	1.05	13.6	15.5	-1.92
Mike Miller	84	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	1	2	14.6	13.5	1.14	13.9	14.0	-0.02
Casey Jacobsen	28	30	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	-5	14	13.5	14.8	-1.26	14.0	13.9	0.04
Stromile Swift	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	-3	10	13.9	14.6	-0.66	11.5	14.7	-3.22
Damon Stoudamire	43	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.10	-5	9	-14	13.3	15.2	-1.87	12.2	15.1	-2.86
Hakim Warrick	27	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	8	-12	14.2	14.5	-0.32	15.5	13.4	2.06
Darko Milicic	35	34	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.09	-12	16	-28	14.7	14.3	0.44	13.1	14.4	-1.34

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Augustine	13	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	12.2	14.2	-1.97	16.0	14.2	1.76
JJ Redick	54	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-4	4	14.4	13.3	1.11	14.4	14.4	-0.05
Brian Cook	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	2	-8	15.3	13.7	1.57	12.3	14.8	-2.52
Maurice Evans	56	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	14.1	13.7	0.39	14.7	14.1	0.60
Keyon Dooling	39	38	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	1	-6	13.3	14.3	-1.00	15.2	14.0	1.16
Dwight Howard	86	92	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-10	16	13.6	16.2	-2.55	14.5	14.0	0.48
Adonal Foyle	13	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	6	-16	16.2	13.6	2.55	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Keith Bogans	70	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-9	14	13.0	16.2	-3.21	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Jameer Nelson	65	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	14.2	13.5	0.67	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Hedo Turkoglu	85	91	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	-1	-2	14.4	11.0	3.42	14.2	15.8	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, LAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.06,0.03,0.05,0	92.6%
DAL 87, WAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.1,0.02,0	92.3%
PHX 86, SAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.31,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	91.6%