inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 87 Excitement7.6 [315] MVPVince Carter (DAL): +22.8%
Washington Wizards 78 Comeback2.7 [364] LVPTrevor Ariza (WAS): -22.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.230.070.15-0.011059%0.2300.002100%0.04
Brandan Wright0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.000.10-0.00771%0.203-0.1000%0.00
Jae Crowder0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.03-0.00267%0.061-0.032100%0.03
DeJuan Blair0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.010.02-0.010.001100%0.051-0.042100%0.01
Monta Ellis0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.010.020.020.041850%0.021-0.011090%0.02
Samuel Dalembert-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shane Larkin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00250%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.01756%0.044-0.13250%-0.01
Jose Calderon-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.080.001437%-0.1100.002100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.021429%-0.102-0.043100%0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.110.001155%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.04-0.03942%0.0410.011100%0.01
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00956%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Otto Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.00250%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011337%-0.012-0.0610%-0.02
John Wall0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.07-0.021854%0.067-0.185100%0.03
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.020.00725%-0.062-0.0620%-0.03
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.070.00520%-0.082-0.0800%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.07-0.18-0.021428%-0.2300.001100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.626.215.624.12.433.6129.5
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +19.6%
DAL +23.7%
WAS -0.9%
DAL +6.6%
DAL +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALWASNBADALWASNBA
this game15.615.815.195.684.8105.2
season15.315.1109.0103.8
opponent15.515.0102.7107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.517.114.315.815.6
WAS14.514.917.017.015.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter56540.81-0.311.120.5490915.216.3-1.0814.917.2-2.36
Brandan Wright36370.50-0.000.500.3263315.815.60.2114.516.7-2.15
Jose Calderon61610.470.030.440.4127-515.815.40.3716.514.61.88
Monta Ellis71720.350.150.190.1763315.516.2-0.7115.716.1-0.35
Shawn Marion59580.240.26-0.020.0663314.817.2-2.4715.915.70.14
DeJuan Blair27280.200.30-0.10-0.0690915.115.9-0.7615.715.9-0.16
Dirk Nowitzki56590.150.35-0.20-0.0981716.214.71.5217.113.53.65
Jae Crowder34350.040.46-0.42-0.1772515.915.50.3315.516.0-0.55
Shane Larkin2223-0.020.52-0.54-0.0209-916.515.41.1215.316.0-0.75
Samuel Dalembert3333-0.230.73-0.960.00-817-2516.515.11.4116.315.60.70

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otto Porter20210.11-0.610.71-0.045-141916.415.70.7316.615.41.26
Trevor Booker5856-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-101115.915.60.2815.515.9-0.43
Marcin Gortat4947-0.04-0.460.41-0.288-172517.014.52.4216.814.42.44
Garrett Temple1313-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-5113.116.3-3.2016.015.60.41
Bradley Beal5856-0.12-0.380.27-0.296-152115.117.0-1.9115.815.30.50
Kevin Seraphin2829-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-112-1315.416.0-0.6715.016.0-1.00
Martell Webster4344-0.38-0.12-0.250.21-2011-3116.015.70.2414.916.3-1.39
John Wall7978-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.24-5-4-116.313.13.2015.616.0-0.41
Nene4546-0.590.09-0.69-0.30-101-1115.815.9-0.0515.815.50.27
Trevor Ariza6765-0.670.17-0.84-0.23-156-2115.516.8-1.2815.216.9-1.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.1,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 110, MEM 1050.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.15,0.05,092.5%
MEM 123, ORL 1190.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.08,092.3%
DET 92, MEM 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.1,0.04,091.9%