NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	7.9 [258]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +32.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	3.5 [442]		LVP	Darko Milicic (MEM): -7.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.08	0.25	-0.00	12	64%	0.35	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	18	57%	0.14	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	17	48%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	14	44%	0.08	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.16	0.03	15	73%	0.39	2	-0.09	11	73%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.05	0.05	21	72%	0.23	4	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.2	16.6	23.5	3.3	38.5	138.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +3.9%

PHI +5.3%

PHI +22.3%

PHI +19.8%

MEM -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.5	117.0	114.1	106.4
season	15.5	16.1		105.3	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.9		107.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	15.0	16.3	13.4	14.8
MEM	15.5	17.1	17.2	15.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	67	65	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.55	10	-5	15	14.4	15.6	-1.23	16.1	16.6	-0.52
Andre Iguodala	84	82	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-6	17	14.5	17.3	-2.85	16.6	13.1	3.51
Theo Ratliff	45	43	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	3	-1	13.7	15.7	-1.96	16.7	15.8	0.84
Thaddeus Young	59	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-1	7	15.6	13.3	2.39	15.4	17.6	-2.20
Lou Williams	43	42	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-2	9	15.7	14.0	1.74	17.0	15.5	1.51
Willie Green	47	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	5	-5	15.0	14.6	0.40	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Marreese Speights	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	1	3	13.3	15.5	-2.14	17.1	15.7	1.37
Samuel Dalembert	49	49	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	2	1	15.7	13.7	1.96	15.8	16.7	-0.84
Reggie Evans	11	11	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	14	-23	17.2	14.4	2.75	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Royal Ivey	33	31	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.12	-9	14	-23	13.7	15.3	-1.63	15.6	16.5	-0.88

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Arthur	36	37	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.13	6	-11	17	17.1	15.6	1.50	17.2	13.2	4.01
Rudy Gay	39	40	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-12	19	16.4	16.1	0.23	15.2	14.4	0.86
Greg Buckner	30	31	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-6	7	17.0	15.9	1.10	13.2	15.5	-2.38
Marko Jaric	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	-2	-1	15.6	16.3	-0.71	11.9	15.0	-3.13
Darko Milicic	17	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	1	-7	18.1	15.8	2.32	11.5	15.4	-3.92
Marc Gasol	75	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-6	7	15.8	18.1	-2.32	15.4	11.5	3.92
Quinton Ross	47	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-5	5	15.9	16.6	-0.77	15.3	14.1	1.24
Mike Conley	84	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-3	1	16.2	16.5	-0.30	15.0	12.8	2.19
O.J. Mayo	75	77	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	7	-19	16.0	17.1	-1.09	14.4	16.5	-2.17
Hakim Warrick	50	50	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.41	-17	12	-29	15.8	16.7	-0.89	13.6	16.0	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, WAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.1,0.02,0	92.5%
DET 91, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.73,0.68,0.46,0.25,0.15,0	92.0%
UTA 80, LAL 73	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.47,0.21,0.15,0.01,0	91.3%