NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	80		Excitement	7.0 [412]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +24.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	73		Comeback	1.8 [689]		LVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): -28.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.15	0.03	10	67%	0.27	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.04
Trey Burke	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.02	11	71%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.04	-0.06	7	64%	0.15	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Elijah Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jack Cooley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	15	39%	0.01	2	-0.11	6	67%	0.01
Dante Exum	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	5	0%	-0.12	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.04	-0.06	12	46%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jabari Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.12	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.09	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.12	0.00	7	22%	-0.10	4	-0.18	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.1	15.5	25.0	1.8	37.0	134.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.6%

UTA +18.9%

LAL -23.4%

UTA +10.9%

UTA +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.1	89.9	83.9	104.2
season	16.2	15.5		103.8	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.3		108.9	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	19.6	15.9	14.5	16.3
LAL	17.1	14.7	16.8	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Millsap	45	41	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.42	17	-10	27	15.0	17.7	-2.75	16.5	16.3	0.14
Trey Burke	49	45	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.47	13	-6	19	15.5	17.4	-1.89	16.3	16.5	-0.26
Gordon Hayward	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	3	1	16.0	17.3	-1.36	16.1	17.2	-1.12
Trevor Booker	39	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-4	15	16.2	16.4	-0.19	17.0	15.8	1.22
Derrick Favors	63	60	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	6	-5	16.2	16.7	-0.56	16.4	16.4	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	67	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	6	-5	16.8	15.0	1.72	16.2	16.9	-0.65
Jack Cooley	9	10	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	6	-5	14.8	16.5	-1.73	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Rodney Hood	40	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	10	-13	17.4	15.5	1.89	16.6	16.2	0.39
Joe Ingles	28	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	11	-15	17.9	15.6	2.27	16.7	16.3	0.40
Dante Exum	40	42	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.17	-6	13	-19	17.4	15.5	1.89	16.5	16.3	0.26

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	31	31	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.11	-1	-6	5	18.3	15.4	2.90	16.9	16.0	0.87
Jabari Brown	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.03	-4	-3	-1	17.3	15.7	1.56	15.2	17.1	-1.97
Ryan Kelly	26	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-3	-1	17.2	16.0	1.20	16.9	16.1	0.74
Wayne Ellington	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-14	21	14.7	18.4	-3.72	16.0	16.7	-0.73
Jeremy Lin	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	0	-7	17.4	15.6	1.74	17.4	15.5	1.96
Carlos Boozer	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.17	-12	5	-17	18.6	14.9	3.70	17.3	15.7	1.60
Wesley Johnson	58	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	16.5	16.2	0.33	16.6	15.7	0.86
Jordan Hill	53	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-7	7	15.1	18.5	-3.41	15.8	17.2	-1.42
Tarik Black	55	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-6	5	15.2	18.4	-3.19	16.0	17.0	-1.05
Jordan Clarkson	56	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	3	-13	16.1	17.0	-0.90	16.1	16.8	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.47,0.21,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.08,0	91.6%
PHI 110, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.15,0.05,0	91.3%
SAC 101, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.05,0	91.3%