NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	107		Excitement	8.6 [170]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +17.2%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	1.8 [355]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -14.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.17	-0.03	0.21	0.01	21	47%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	15	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	19	61%	0.19	3	-0.15	8	62%	-0.09
Pat Garrity	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	41%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	3	117%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	19	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	61%	0.12	5	-0.18	14	57%	-0.06
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	42%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	15	44%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.5	27.4	15.8	26.2	1.7	39.2	132.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.8%

ORL +5.6%

ATL -6.5%

ORL +16.8%

ORL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	15.2	103.9	101.0	101.7
season	13.6	15.4		100.4	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.1	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	13.6	11.7	14.0	13.6
ATL	11.6	14.1	16.0	16.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Gatling	66	64	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-2	8	14.2	12.6	1.59	15.0	13.6	1.41
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	73	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.49	-2	6	-8	13.3	14.4	-1.11	14.0	15.6	-1.57
Bo Outlaw	61	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	-1	6	14.2	12.7	1.48	15.5	13.2	2.34
Pat Garrity	15	14	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	-5	14	10.9	14.1	-3.13	16.1	14.2	1.92
Chucky Atkins	37	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-8	20	14.2	13.3	0.86	15.8	13.8	1.99
Darrell Armstrong	66	65	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.37	-6	10	-16	13.3	14.2	-0.86	13.8	15.8	-1.99
John Amaechi	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	-2	8	18.1	12.8	5.34	12.7	14.8	-2.06
Michael Doleac	72	72	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	9	-14	13.2	14.5	-1.34	14.6	14.2	0.36
Corey Maggette	30	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	0	4	14.4	13.3	1.11	15.6	14.0	1.57
Ben Wallace	36	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	12.9	14.0	-1.15	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Monty Williams	43	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	8	-12	12.4	14.4	-2.01	13.1	15.6	-2.46

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	72	74	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-9	14	14.0	15.6	-1.52	13.2	14.6	-1.36
Chris Crawford	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-1	-2	15.7	14.4	1.37	17.0	13.3	3.67
Isaiah Rider	57	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-4	4	13.6	15.6	-2.03	13.9	13.2	0.63
Dikembe Mutombo	90	91	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-11	18	14.2	16.7	-2.56	14.2	8.8	5.41
Roshown McLeod	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	15.5	13.2	2.39	12.7	14.8	-2.11
Alan Henderson	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	0	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.08	12.7	17.6	-4.95
Lorenzen Wright	30	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	7	-18	15.4	14.1	1.34	14.8	13.1	1.66
Jim Jackson	82	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-2	0	14.3	15.4	-1.19	13.6	13.8	-0.19
Jason Terry	30	29	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	15.6	14.0	1.52	14.6	13.2	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 108, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.16,0	92.3%
DET 98, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.04,0	91.9%
OKC 107, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.6,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.21,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.26,0	91.7%