NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	108		Excitement	8.4 [177]		MVP	Tony Delk (CHH): +16.7%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.6 [436]		LVP	Tony Smith (CHH): -20.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.15	0.00	12	60%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	10	62%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Ricky Pierce	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	16	61%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Malik Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	24	48%	0.08	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.02
Tony Smith	-0.20	0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	0.01	5	58%	-0.11	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.12

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.11	-0.01	22	43%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	68%	0.15	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.06
Alton Lister	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Hamer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Driggers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	21	50%	0.05	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Marty Conlon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	13	47%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	6	47%	-0.06	3	-0.12	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	2.4	22.4	16.7	24.1	2.4	36.3	123.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +21.8%

CHH +10.2%

CHH +7.9%

CHH +3.1%

CHH +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	BOS	NBA	CHH	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	16.1	15.6	112.5	107.4	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		108.0	101.8
opponent	14.7	16.0		109.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.7	12.4	13.5	14.5	14.0
BOS	14.9	18.4	17.2	14.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	57	58	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.24	21	-15	36	13.6	14.6	-0.98	16.7	15.2	1.46
Anthony Mason	96	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.0	0.0	14.03	16.1	0.0	16.14
Glen Rice	96	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.0	0.0	14.03	16.1	0.0	16.14
Ricky Pierce	82	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	14.2	12.9	1.37	15.7	18.6	-2.87
Vlade Divac	71	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-1	8	13.8	14.6	-0.82	16.4	15.5	0.92
Malik Rose	25	25	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	3	0	14.0	14.1	-0.10	16.8	15.9	0.95
Rafael Addison	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	7	-8	12.1	14.3	-2.19	17.9	15.9	1.97
Matt Geiger	16	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	14.3	14.0	0.34	14.8	16.4	-1.67
Tony Smith	26	25	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.09	-12	18	-30	15.6	13.5	2.12	14.9	16.6	-1.65

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Lister	14	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-3	0	16.8	16.0	0.76	12.9	14.2	-1.37
Steve Hamer	14	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-5	4	13.0	16.7	-3.68	13.9	14.1	-0.20
David Wesley	69	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-11	16	15.9	16.8	-0.92	14.6	12.4	2.26
Michael Hawkins	22	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	3	-12	15.9	16.2	-0.30	13.3	14.2	-0.95
Nate Driggers	21	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	3	-12	18.6	15.4	3.13	13.7	14.1	-0.47
Todd Day	89	90	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-6	6	15.8	20.7	-4.84	13.6	20.0	-6.37
Marty Conlon	87	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-5	4	16.0	17.4	-1.35	14.4	10.0	4.40
Brett Szabo	65	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	16.8	14.7	2.15	14.1	14.0	0.09
Antoine Walker	94	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	2	-10	16.1	17.0	-0.87	14.0	13.0	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.15,0	93.1%
LAL 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,0	92.4%
LAL 88, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.03,0.02,0	92.4%