inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 98 Excitement10.5 [39] MVPSamaki Walker (SAS): +5.9%
Sacramento Kings 92 Comeback3.9 [236] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -31.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samaki Walker0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.050.01762%0.091-0.0320%-0.03
Mario Elie0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00280%0.041-0.031100%0.01
Antonio Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.00558%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Jaren Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0150%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Sean Elliott-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.07-0.021150%-0.034-0.09450%-0.04
Terry Porter-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21-0.09-0.12-0.00748%-0.083-0.12757%-0.03
David Robinson-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.24,-0.210.00-0.22-0.012150%-0.2100.001080%-0.09
Avery Johnson-0.220,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.03-0.180.011242%-0.191-0.0300%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.310,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.32,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.20-0.15-0.032235%-0.243-0.08875%-0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01550%0.0200.002100%0.02
Nick Anderson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,00.000.03-0.03-0.011353%0.0000.00450%-0.01
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.011447%0.092-0.112100%0.02
Darrick Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Vlade Divac0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.06-0.001553%0.002-0.07250%-0.01
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.0020%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Lawrence Funderburke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.03-0.15-0.00333%-0.061-0.1200%0.00
Chris Webber0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.10-0.011250%-0.084-0.10850%-0.08
Jason Williams0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.32,-0.32,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.31-0.31-0.08-0.230.001168%0.148-0.45333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.42.828.318.628.23.339.41.418.5164.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC -58.5%
SAS +22.5%
SAS +27.8%
SAS +54.2%
SAS +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSACNBASASSACNBA
this game17.013.215.293.386.8101.7
season15.513.8101.6102.9
opponent14.715.4100.795.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS15.615.818.519.315.517.0
SAC11.713.013.615.711.713.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Porter67650.52-0.020.530.1911-51617.216.70.4913.013.5-0.49
Tim Duncan95950.440.060.390.3633017.314.42.8713.213.2-0.02
Antonio Daniels43420.430.070.360.0214-82217.216.90.3213.512.90.64
David Robinson69720.390.110.280.42-17-817.416.21.2313.412.70.71
Sean Elliott63640.320.180.150.35-17-816.418.0-1.5913.412.90.50
Jaren Jackson16160.180.32-0.15-0.037-1814.617.4-2.8012.613.3-0.63
Samaki Walker46450.160.34-0.18-0.1611-51615.817.9-2.1312.813.4-0.63
Avery Johnson62640.070.43-0.350.34-915-2416.917.2-0.3212.913.5-0.64
Mario Elie42440.070.43-0.360.22-511-1618.416.12.3013.512.90.66
Jerome Kersey2223-0.090.59-0.67-0.0906-617.416.90.4612.813.3-0.48

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vlade Divac69680.42-0.921.340.169-152413.313.00.2917.516.11.42
Corliss Williamson53520.06-0.560.62-0.064-101413.113.3-0.2116.617.4-0.72
Darrick Martin1112-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-1-411.813.3-1.5014.317.3-3.01
Chris Webber8179-0.19-0.310.11-0.252-81013.511.91.6217.814.73.12
Nick Anderson7473-0.20-0.300.11-0.314-101413.013.6-0.5816.418.4-2.07
Scot Pollard3635-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-126-1813.812.80.9317.316.80.51
Jason Williams9593-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.34-1-5413.311.81.5017.314.33.01
Peja Stojakovic5353-0.560.06-0.62-0.27-104-1413.313.10.2117.416.60.72
Lawrence Funderburke2324-0.720.22-0.94-0.40-115-1611.613.6-2.0414.617.7-3.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.33,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 104, SAC 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.53,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.32,0.04,089.4%
DAL 114, DEN 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,088.4%
BOS 102, IND 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.24,0.04,088.3%