NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	10.1 [46]		MVP	Jeff Foster (IND): +12.4%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	2.8 [130]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -27.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	65%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Kenny Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Milt Palacio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Randy Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.08	4	-0.14	10	80%	0.07
Mark Blount	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.11	0.01	7	69%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.14	-0.01	7	50%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.18
Antoine Walker	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33,-0.26,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.20	-0.02	-0.05	27	39%	-0.02	6	-0.15	3	67%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	3	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.09,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	20	51%	0.06	3	-0.12	11	82%	0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	14	49%	-0.05	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.18	-0.00	19	46%	-0.12	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.01	11	28%	-0.27	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.7	1.7	27.4	15.6	27.8	1.7	39.2	1.5	18.4	154.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +29.3%

BOS +6.3%

BOS +13.1%

IND -4.4%

BOS +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	17.1	15.5	104.1	97.0	100.9
season	15.1	15.9		99.7	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	13.2	14.8	15.4	19.4	12.7	15.2
IND	15.6	17.3	17.4	18.5	16.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	55	55	1.11	-0.61	1.73	0.59	18	-12	30	15.4	15.0	0.36	17.9	16.0	1.97
Kenny Anderson	40	38	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.03	22	-16	38	14.2	15.9	-1.69	17.1	17.0	0.00
Antoine Walker	89	90	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	0	6	15.1	16.0	-0.85	17.2	15.1	2.13
Paul Pierce	74	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	-1	8	15.2	15.4	-0.25	17.0	17.3	-0.27
Bryant Stith	81	79	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	1	4	15.1	15.8	-0.72	16.5	19.1	-2.57
Milt Palacio	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	0.0	15.2	-15.22	2.0	17.2	-15.20
Eric Williams	54	54	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	7	-8	14.7	15.9	-1.24	17.4	16.6	0.74
Randy Brown	58	62	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.36	-16	22	-38	15.9	14.2	1.69	16.8	17.5	-0.65
Mark Blount	39	40	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.01	-11	17	-28	16.3	14.5	1.84	16.8	17.2	-0.34

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	16	16	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.13	0	-6	6	16.4	17.2	-0.81	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Jonathan Bender	6	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	1	-8	20.2	16.8	3.32	17.0	15.1	1.91
Bruno Sundov	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	16.2	17.6	-1.45	13.4	16.4	-3.06
Al Harrington	47	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	4	-14	17.1	17.0	0.15	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Travis Best	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	2	-10	16.4	17.9	-1.50	14.4	16.2	-1.82
Jalen Rose	77	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-8	10	17.0	17.3	-0.29	15.4	14.8	0.58
Derrick McKey	42	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.53	7	-13	20	17.1	17.0	0.16	16.6	14.3	2.28
Reggie Miller	90	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-7	8	16.8	19.7	-2.88	15.1	16.5	-1.49
Jermaine O'Neal	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-5	4	17.0	17.2	-0.15	15.5	14.4	1.13
Jeff Foster	50	49	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	3	-12	18.8	15.3	3.49	16.7	13.8	2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 103, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.06,0.13,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.15,0	90.7%
BKN 110, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.5,0.61,0.37,0.24,0.28,0	90.0%
DAL 96, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.02,0	89.2%