NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	9.9 [78]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +15.2%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	3.1 [450]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (SAC): -13.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	22	65%	0.20	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.04	0.13	-0.01	15	52%	0.19	4	-0.09	10	70%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	12	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Ryan Hollins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	0%	-0.22
Reggie Bullock	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	36%	-0.00	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	5	42%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	5	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	12	52%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.09
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.07	-0.10	0.02	19	61%	0.16	3	-0.22	3	100%	0.02
Hamady Ndiaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	13	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.13	0.00	12	44%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	27.6	16.5	29.5	2.4	34.2	1.6	19.0	158.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +8.5%

SAC -5.7%

LAC +30.4%

LAC +22.2%

SAC -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	16.8	15.1	106.1	102.1	105.2
season	14.3	15.4		111.0	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.4		107.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.1	14.8	16.3	16.9	18.8	16.0
SAC	14.9	15.8	19.7	16.6	18.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	70	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-5	16	15.6	17.0	-1.41	16.5	17.7	-1.19
Ryan Hollins	22	21	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-4	14	12.7	16.9	-4.23	17.2	16.7	0.52
Blake Griffin	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	7	-8	17.7	12.0	5.66	16.9	16.8	0.06
Jared Dudley	65	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	8	-10	16.8	14.2	2.63	17.2	16.0	1.20
Reggie Bullock	27	27	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-4	14	11.9	17.5	-5.57	16.2	17.1	-0.90
DeAndre Jordan	72	71	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.41	-6	12	-18	16.7	13.9	2.82	16.8	17.0	-0.28
Antawn Jamison	34	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-1	8	13.0	17.5	-4.49	17.0	16.8	0.20
Willie Green	26	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	6	-6	17.4	15.4	1.94	18.4	16.2	2.19
JJ Redick	37	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	6	-6	14.6	16.8	-2.24	15.2	17.8	-2.57
Darren Collison	61	60	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	11	-16	17.1	14.0	3.10	16.9	16.7	0.27

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	38	39	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-8	10	17.2	16.6	0.62	18.2	14.5	3.73
John Salmons	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	1	-8	16.2	17.3	-1.06	12.9	18.2	-5.30
Travis Outlaw	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-6	6	16.0	17.1	-1.01	12.6	16.9	-4.25
DeMarcus Cousins	74	74	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.37	8	-14	22	16.6	17.7	-1.10	17.3	12.0	5.30
Hamady Ndiaye	10	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	4	-14	18.1	16.7	1.41	10.2	16.8	-6.60
Greivis Vasquez	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-5	4	16.5	17.5	-1.09	17.3	13.5	3.85
Marcus Thornton	38	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	4	-14	16.6	17.0	-0.46	11.8	18.7	-6.87
Derrick Williams	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-7	8	17.2	16.4	0.76	18.3	12.9	5.40
Isaiah Thomas	34	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	1	-8	17.3	16.6	0.67	13.5	17.4	-3.93
Ben McLemore	57	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.46	2	-8	10	17.3	16.2	1.14	18.7	11.8	6.87
Patrick Patterson	49	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	2	-10	17.0	16.7	0.34	15.1	16.9	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.53,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 114, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,0	90.5%
SAS 98, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.33,0.01,0	89.4%
DET 111, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.15,0.01,0	88.8%