NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	9.7 [72]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +27.5%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	2.5 [303]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -18.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.28	0.09	0.20	0.01	13	69%	0.30	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.13,0.13	-0.05	0.17	-0.00	16	45%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Todd Day	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	7	68%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	13	58%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Longley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	0.00	9	75%	0.23	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.05
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	13	43%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	20	53%	-0.08	2	-0.07	13	92%	0.09
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.18	-0.18	0.00	-0.18	0.00	3	67%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.01	21	38%	-0.08	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	32.5	15.4	24.2	1.8	36.2	134.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +125.7%

DET -53.1%

DET -36.6%

DET -4.6%

PHX +18.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	14.6	15.2	102.1	105.4	101.7
season	14.8	14.1		101.4	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.0	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	16.6	15.6	18.1	16.0
DET	14.2	13.4	16.5	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	73	71	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.51	6	-5	11	16.1	15.7	0.44	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Oliver Miller	62	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-5	11	16.3	15.6	0.64	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Randy Livingston	74	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	-1	3	16.0	16.1	-0.14	14.8	13.9	0.88
Clifford Robinson	79	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	0	1	16.0	16.3	-0.32	14.4	15.2	-0.86
Anfernee Hardaway	77	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	4	-7	15.7	17.5	-1.86	14.9	13.5	1.39
Todd Day	41	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	-2	5	16.8	15.5	1.31	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Luc Longley	26	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	3	-5	14.0	16.8	-2.79	16.1	14.1	2.07
Shawn Marion	25	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	4	-7	14.4	16.6	-2.15	16.5	13.9	2.66
Don MacLean	23	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	6	-11	19.3	15.0	4.30	13.0	15.2	-2.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	23	28	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.02	9	-10	19	13.2	15.0	-1.81	16.8	15.7	1.12
Michael Curry	13	12	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-2	3	14.8	14.5	0.22	17.2	15.9	1.30
Jud Buechler	21	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	2	-5	17.0	13.8	3.20	16.4	15.9	0.47
Eric Montross	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	18.5	13.9	4.61	15.0	16.2	-1.18
John Crotty	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	2	-5	13.8	15.0	-1.11	17.2	15.5	1.65
Terry Mills	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	3	-7	14.9	14.3	0.58	14.8	17.1	-2.29
Lindsey Hunter	61	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-3	5	15.0	13.8	1.11	15.5	17.2	-1.65
Grant Hill	72	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-3	5	14.2	15.9	-1.69	16.0	16.2	-0.24
Christian Laettner	59	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-1	1	15.3	13.3	2.03	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Jerry Stackhouse	78	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.53	-2	1	-3	14.2	16.6	-2.35	15.8	17.3	-1.47
Jerome Williams	46	46	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.52	-3	2	-5	12.9	16.2	-3.33	17.1	15.0	2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.55,0.72,0.57,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	93.5%
WAS 83, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.43,0.27,0	91.8%
OKC 103, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.64,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	91.4%