NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Excitement	9.0 [152]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +43.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	2.2 [475]		LVP	Taj Gibson (OKC): -10.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.34,0.34,0.43	0.19	0.26	0.02	25	73%	0.65	7	-0.22	12	75%	-0.08
Doug McDermott	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.28,0.28	0.04	0.24	-0.00	7	59%	0.34	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Enes Kanter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	10	45%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Semaj Christon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	15	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	26%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.05
Taj Gibson	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	10	40%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	15	57%	0.21	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.06
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	5	80%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	10	70%	0.20	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	16	64%	0.13	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.08	0.04	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.14	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	27.3	15.6	28.5	2.5	31.9	135.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +41.4%

MEM -26.6%

OKC +19.2%

OKC +10.5%

OKC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	16.5	14.8	110.8	105.3	107.7
season	14.0	16.1		107.0	106.4
opponent	14.9	15.1		106.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.2	13.6	15.4	15.6	14.1
MEM	15.5	17.0	16.6	17.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	64	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.51	4	-1	5	13.6	15.2	-1.60	16.7	16.0	0.69
Russell Westbrook	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	0	3	13.8	15.3	-1.45	16.9	15.2	1.63
Doug McDermott	58	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	-2	7	14.9	12.7	2.23	16.9	15.7	1.19
Victor Oladipo	78	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	5	-7	14.1	14.1	-0.03	15.3	22.7	-7.40
Taj Gibson	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.50	-3	6	-9	13.7	14.7	-0.96	15.3	18.0	-2.72
Domantas Sabonis	19	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	-4	11	13.7	14.2	-0.47	17.0	16.4	0.70
Enes Kanter	38	39	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-5	13	14.5	13.8	0.66	18.4	15.2	3.28
Semaj Christon	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	0	3	14.1	14.1	0.06	17.5	15.7	1.75
Andre Roberson	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	3	-3	13.1	14.5	-1.46	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Nick Collison	11	11	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.12	-10	13	-23	18.3	13.5	4.72	13.1	17.0	-3.86

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wade Baldwin IV	24	22	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.16	3	-6	9	16.2	16.6	-0.34	14.7	13.9	0.81
Wayne Selden	44	43	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.11	1	-4	5	17.3	15.8	1.47	14.3	13.9	0.45
James Ennis III	12	12	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-8	13	15.8	16.6	-0.77	16.1	13.8	2.27
Brandan Wright	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.20	-6	3	-9	17.7	15.9	1.83	14.8	13.7	1.05
JaMychal Green	37	38	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-7	11	16.0	16.8	-0.83	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Troy Daniels	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	3	-9	17.3	16.2	1.16	13.2	14.5	-1.23
Marc Gasol	66	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-7	11	16.3	16.9	-0.51	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Vince Carter	51	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	1	-5	15.6	17.5	-1.94	13.8	14.5	-0.75
Tony Allen	54	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.51	-2	-1	-1	16.4	16.6	-0.18	14.2	13.9	0.32
Zach Randolph	54	51	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	5	-13	16.3	16.8	-0.44	14.2	14.0	0.28
Andrew Harrison	71	71	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.57	-6	3	-9	16.6	16.2	0.34	13.9	14.7	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.64,0.46,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.32,0.04,0	92.1%
WAS 89, HOU 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.17,0	92.0%
LAC 93, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.23,0.68,0.54,0.24,0.16,0	91.8%