NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	8.2 [207]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +16.4%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.5 [969]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -29.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.12	0.01	19	63%	0.37	6	-0.21	13	85%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	13	76%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	-0.06	0.13	-0.02	19	35%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.06
Devin Ebanks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Caracter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	37%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	7	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	65%	0.11	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	21	49%	0.08	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.03
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	-0.05	9	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.03	-0.24	0.02	17	42%	-0.24	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.4	27.9	15.0	29.1	2.5	34.5	140.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.9%

LAL +0.6%

NJN -4.9%

LAL +7.8%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.5	106.5	95.8	105.7
season	15.9	16.4		108.8	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	15.5	17.0	13.6	15.1
NJN	15.4	16.5	14.4	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	55	59	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-3	13	14.0	16.7	-2.65	16.1	14.2	1.81
Lamar Odom	61	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-2	11	15.1	15.2	-0.06	15.7	14.7	0.96
Pau Gasol	81	84	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	0	7	15.4	13.2	2.24	15.5	14.2	1.36
Kobe Bryant	68	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	2	3	14.6	16.4	-1.75	16.1	13.2	2.91
Steve Blake	47	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	4	-1	15.7	14.5	1.14	13.8	16.9	-3.07
Luke Walton	7	8	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	4	-1	20.6	14.7	5.90	16.0	15.3	0.70
Devin Ebanks	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	6	-5	11.4	15.5	-4.07	17.0	15.2	1.84
Matt Barnes	34	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	6	-5	16.3	14.5	1.81	13.8	16.2	-2.34
Sasha Vujacic	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	7	-7	0.0	15.1	-15.12	1.0	15.5	-14.51
Derrick Caracter	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	7	-7	13.2	15.4	-2.24	15.4	15.4	0.01
Metta World Peace	50	53	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	9	-11	15.4	14.7	0.70	16.2	14.3	1.91
Shannon Brown	41	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	9	-11	15.3	15.0	0.27	13.9	16.4	-2.53

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	35	35	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.02	14	-21	35	16.9	14.4	2.50	16.5	14.3	2.28
Johan Petro	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	13.1	15.6	-2.52	15.9	15.0	0.88
Travis Outlaw	12	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	15.4	15.3	0.07	16.4	15.0	1.41
Derrick Favors	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	14.0	15.9	-1.94	16.1	14.7	1.38
Jordan Farmar	46	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	14.0	16.6	-2.68	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Brook Lopez	78	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-3	-1	15.9	13.1	2.76	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Terrence Williams	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	6	-19	13.5	16.9	-3.47	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Kris Humphries	73	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-8	9	15.9	13.6	2.35	15.3	14.5	0.83
Devin Harris	74	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-4	1	16.0	13.3	2.64	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Anthony Morrow	81	79	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	8	-23	15.7	13.7	1.92	14.5	18.7	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 103, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.64,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	92.1%
LAC 93, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.23,0.68,0.54,0.24,0.16,0	91.5%
OKC 105, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.1,0.08,0	91.2%