NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Excitement	9.7 [68]		MVP	Jeff Green (OKC): +48.6%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	2.2 [577]		LVP	James Harden (OKC): -8.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.49	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.49	-0.04	0.52	-0.00	18	48%	0.56	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.04
Nenad Krstic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	24	49%	0.07	1	-0.02	13	85%	-0.04
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	13	47%	0.06	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.07
Daequan Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	8%	-0.09	1	0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.42	0.42	0.23	0.19	-0.00	16	78%	0.46	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.08
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.25,0.3	0.30	-0.03	0.33	-0.00	11	50%	0.41	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	18	57%	0.12	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	18%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	29.4	16.7	29.0	2.8	43.2	149.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -35.1%

OKC +8.5%

OKC +27.5%

OKC +18.7%

OKC +30.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DET	NBA	OKC	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	15.5	109.4	108.3	105.7
season	15.0	16.7		108.8	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.6		110.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.7	12.9	14.2	14.8	13.9
DET	15.1	17.1	17.9	14.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	85	84	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-6	13	13.6	16.5	-2.99	16.5	13.7	2.79
Russell Westbrook	77	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-5	11	13.9	13.9	-0.06	16.4	15.1	1.25
Thabo Sefolosha	56	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-10	21	14.0	13.8	0.21	17.1	14.6	2.49
Kevin Durant	79	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	-2	5	14.3	12.1	2.23	16.4	14.5	1.94
Nenad Krstic	39	39	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	-15	31	13.9	13.9	0.00	17.5	15.1	2.42
Serge Ibaka	57	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.55	-15	16	-31	13.9	13.9	-0.00	15.1	17.5	-2.42
Daequan Cook	33	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	9	-17	13.8	14.0	-0.21	14.0	17.2	-3.21
Eric Maynor	19	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	6	-11	13.9	13.9	0.06	15.1	16.4	-1.25
James Harden	35	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	11	-21	13.8	13.9	-0.11	14.8	16.8	-1.91

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	52	52	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.18	8	-9	17	15.8	16.5	-0.69	14.4	13.3	1.15
Tracy McGrady	11	10	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-7	13	17.6	15.9	1.73	17.0	13.5	3.47
DaJuan Summers	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	7.0	16.2	-9.20	1.0	14.0	-13.03
Austin Daye	49	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	0	-1	16.4	15.8	0.58	13.7	14.2	-0.49
Richard Hamilton	59	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	6	-13	15.6	16.9	-1.37	13.7	14.3	-0.66
Ben Gordon	63	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.45	7	-8	15	15.5	17.3	-1.78	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Jason Maxiell	48	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.46	2	-3	5	16.0	16.2	-0.21	14.3	13.5	0.87
Rodney Stuckey	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	1	-3	16.1	16.1	-0.02	13.6	15.2	-1.56
Tayshaun Prince	77	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	7	-15	16.7	13.8	2.89	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Ben Wallace	41	41	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.69	-9	8	-17	16.7	15.6	1.10	13.6	14.1	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.28,0.38,0.27,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.1,0.04,0	93.4%
LAL 91, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.1,0.15,0	92.7%
ORL 107, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.06,0,0	92.7%