NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	107		Excitement	6.6 [522]		MVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): +29.8%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.0 [656]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): -13.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	14	65%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.10	0.02	19	68%	0.27	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	0.00	7	63%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
Evan Fournier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.07	0.01	14	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.12	0.04	9	114%	0.45	3	-0.16	3	100%	0.03
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.03	6	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	17	64%	0.16	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	59%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	42%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	12	35%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	26.3	15.5	22.2	2.4	32.5	121.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.9%

NYK -7.6%

ORL +8.4%

ORL +19.9%

ORL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	14.9	120.2	110.0	105.1
season	14.6	15.6		103.6	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.2	15.5	19.8	17.1	16.8
NYK	15.5	14.5	15.4	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	0	8	16.1	18.1	-2.03	16.1	14.2	1.99
Tobias Harris	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	16.5	17.6	-1.10	15.8	14.2	1.60
Nikola Vucevic	65	64	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	16.5	17.4	-0.88	15.8	14.3	1.50
Victor Oladipo	44	46	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	2	4	17.0	16.6	0.40	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Jason Smith	51	52	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	8	-8	16.9	16.6	0.39	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Channing Frye	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	0	8	16.6	16.9	-0.39	16.1	14.9	1.25
Shabazz Napier	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	6	-4	16.7	16.8	-0.06	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Mario Hezonja	36	37	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	9	-10	17.9	16.0	1.92	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Andrew Nicholson	24	26	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	6	-4	17.4	16.5	0.88	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Aaron Gordon	21	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	6	-4	17.6	16.5	1.10	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Elfrid Payton	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	7	-6	16.3	16.9	-0.55	16.5	15.1	1.36

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	19	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-11	14	15.3	15.4	-0.12	18.4	16.3	2.03
Langston Galloway	51	51	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-13	18	13.7	17.6	-3.89	16.8	16.7	0.07
Sasha Vujacic	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-8	8	15.1	15.5	-0.36	15.8	16.9	-1.10
Kristaps Porzingis	47	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-10	12	15.9	14.9	0.92	16.5	17.1	-0.64
Kevin Seraphin	18	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-3	-2	13.8	15.8	-2.04	15.1	17.1	-1.97
Jose Calderon	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-2	-4	16.6	14.7	1.93	16.7	16.8	-0.04
Jerian Grant	24	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-5	2	16.5	15.0	1.48	19.8	15.7	4.13
Lance Thomas	52	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	14.3	16.9	-2.61	16.8	16.7	0.07
Robin Lopez	61	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	0	-8	16.2	13.7	2.49	17.1	16.1	0.97
Carmelo Anthony	73	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	1	-10	15.7	14.3	1.38	16.6	17.5	-0.88
Arron Afflalo	61	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	4	-16	15.8	14.6	1.17	15.7	19.0	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.02,0.02,0	93.0%
TOR 106, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.28,0.38,0.27,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.1,0.04,0	92.9%
CHA 102, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	92.9%