NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	7.5 [324]		MVP	Luis Scola (HOU): +21.2%
Houston Rockets	87		Comeback	3.0 [126]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -37.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.3,0.22,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	23	56%	0.13	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
DeShawn Stevenson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.11	-0.01	0.12	-0.00	3	37%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	14	50%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Javaris Crittenton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	15	39%	-0.13	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	8	89%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	17	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	15	54%	-0.04	6	-0.16	7	71%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.37	-0.37	-0.08	-0.29	-0.00	14	37%	-0.33	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	30.2	15.7	24.2	1.8	35.0	131.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +48.9%

WAS +2.6%

HOU -1.4%

HOU -1.0%

WAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.5	98.9	97.8	106.4
season	15.9	16.3		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		102.7	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	15.6	17.1	18.8	16.6
HOU	16.1	14.4	14.9	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	70	69	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.58	8	-6	14	15.8	19.4	-3.63	15.4	16.2	-0.84
DeShawn Stevenson	43	40	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	1	0	17.3	15.9	1.43	15.7	15.5	0.24
Mike James	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	16.5	16.8	-0.35	16.1	14.5	1.65
Etan Thomas	30	30	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	-11	24	15.8	17.0	-1.17	14.6	16.1	-1.50
Dominic McGuire	66	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.45	-6	8	-14	17.0	15.5	1.41	16.3	13.8	2.44
JaVale McGee	6	5	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	15.3	16.7	-1.33	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Nick Young	44	45	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	2	-2	16.6	16.6	-0.02	15.5	15.7	-0.26
Javaris Crittenton	7	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	13.6	16.8	-3.26	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Darius Songaila	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	-1	4	17.3	16.1	1.17	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Andray Blatche	67	67	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.39	-13	15	-28	17.1	15.0	2.06	15.8	15.1	0.67
Juan Dixon	19	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.09	-2	4	-6	16.5	16.6	-0.13	14.2	16.0	-1.80

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	63	63	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.03	11	-13	24	16.2	14.1	2.15	16.8	16.1	0.67
Aaron Brooks	28	29	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.13	2	-4	6	16.2	15.3	0.90	17.7	16.0	1.69
Brent Barry	28	29	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.12	-1	-1	0	15.8	15.5	0.33	18.0	15.9	2.15
Shane Battier	49	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-4	6	15.2	16.1	-0.87	15.8	17.6	-1.84
Carl Landry	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-2	2	16.5	15.0	1.52	18.2	15.5	2.74
Charles Hayes	14	15	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	8	-18	14.1	15.9	-1.81	16.0	16.7	-0.69
Metta World Peace	47	48	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	2	-6	15.4	15.8	-0.41	17.2	15.8	1.44
Tracy McGrady	61	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.56	-1	-1	0	15.5	15.8	-0.33	15.9	18.0	-2.15
Rafer Alston	61	61	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.57	-4	2	-6	15.3	16.2	-0.90	16.0	17.7	-1.69
Yao Ming	58	58	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.60	-5	3	-8	15.2	16.3	-1.12	15.6	18.3	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 110, CHH 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.23,0.27,0	92.4%
SAS 101, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.55,0.28,0.23,0.05,0	92.3%
OKC 103, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.64,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	92.0%