NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	110		Excitement	8.3 [196]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): +23.5%
Charlotte Hornets	105		Comeback	2.2 [506]		LVP	Jon Barry (DET): -20.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.23,0.23	0.06	0.17	0.00	10	79%	0.32	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	14	75%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	4	80%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Zeljko Rebraca	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,0.07,0,-0.04,0.09	-0.03	0.11	-0.01	20	57%	0.19	4	-0.09	14	86%	0.04
Michael Curry	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mikki Moore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	2	29%	-0.13	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.02	4	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	71%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	16	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0.1,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	23	45%	0.08	1	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	11	57%	0.05	2	-0.11	8	87%	0.07
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	78%	0.03	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	16	44%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	28.8	15.8	27.0	1.5	35.6	136.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +62.7%

CHH -0.4%

CHH -25.8%

DET +11.9%

DET +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHH	NBA	DET	CHH	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.6	118.3	112.9	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		101.9	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.8	12.8	15.8	17.3	14.8
CHH	15.0	16.0	16.9	17.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	69	70	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-7	19	14.0	17.2	-3.17	15.7	17.6	-1.88
Ben Wallace	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	0	5	14.6	15.4	-0.77	16.2	16.0	0.27
Clifford Robinson	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	5	-5	15.1	14.0	1.07	15.8	17.4	-1.65
Chucky Atkins	81	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	2	1	15.1	13.1	1.99	15.9	17.8	-1.89
Corliss Williamson	43	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	-2	9	15.8	14.0	1.81	16.4	15.9	0.52
Michael Curry	35	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	13	-21	14.2	15.2	-1.04	15.9	16.3	-0.34
Damon Jones	12	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	3	-1	13.1	15.1	-1.99	17.8	15.9	1.89
Mikki Moore	12	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	3	-1	13.1	15.1	-1.99	17.8	15.9	1.89
Jon Barry	40	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.02	1	4	-3	15.5	14.3	1.20	16.4	15.9	0.53
Zeljko Rebraca	37	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.14	1	4	-3	15.6	14.3	1.25	16.7	15.8	0.87

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	28	28	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.13	2	-7	9	16.4	16.1	0.30	15.0	14.7	0.31
Jamaal Magloire	26	27	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-7	9	17.5	15.6	1.87	18.1	13.5	4.69
Robert Traylor	31	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-12	19	16.7	15.9	0.79	17.6	13.5	4.07
Stacey Augmon	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-1	-3	16.3	16.1	0.21	12.5	15.2	-2.74
Lee Nailon	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	1	-7	16.0	16.4	-0.42	14.3	15.6	-1.33
Baron Davis	81	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-10	15	16.3	15.2	1.03	15.3	11.4	3.92
P.J. Brown	55	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	0	-5	15.9	16.5	-0.64	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Matt Bullard	37	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	2	-9	16.2	16.1	0.15	15.2	14.5	0.71
Elden Campbell	61	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	-1	-3	15.7	17.0	-1.34	13.6	16.9	-3.29
David Wesley	78	77	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.45	-15	10	-25	15.9	17.6	-1.73	14.1	18.5	-4.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, HOU 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.17,0	92.4%
HOU 98, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.26,0	91.8%
GSW 105, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.17,0.05,0	91.4%