inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 98 Excitement8.4 [186] MVPLuis Scola (HOU): +18.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder 96 Comeback2.0 [865] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -44.9%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luis Scola0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.08-0.00778%0.1800.00450%-0.03
Aaron Brooks0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.02-0.011060%0.1000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.00367%0.0800.0000%0.00
Von Wafer0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.01-0.001058%0.0500.00475%0.00
Carl Landry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00475%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Yao Ming-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.25,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.050.001048%0.256-0.30989%0.08
Luther Head-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00350%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.10.01-0.070.032052%0.073-0.171090%0.04
Rafer Alston-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.21-0.12-0.080.01728%-0.053-0.15475%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.030.030.000.030.001356%0.113-0.0710%-0.01
Kyle Weaver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.012100%0.082-0.053100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00850%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.03-0.00656%0.083-0.08475%-0.00
Robert Swift0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01267%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.030.00642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.04-0.011045%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.030.051246%-0.043-0.0900%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.01,-0.12,-0.45-0.45-0.04-0.400.012256%-0.047-0.414100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.22.623.815.024.81.834.0133.2
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +48.6%
HOU +9.6%
OKC -20.6%
HOU +6.6%
HOU +5.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game15.014.415.5101.097.0106.4
season16.314.9105.9100.5
opponent15.115.2106.6102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU12.914.516.016.915.0
OKC13.713.716.014.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yao Ming64650.390.110.290.3902-215.114.60.5314.913.61.29
Von Wafer71700.390.110.270.42-13-415.114.50.6314.913.31.64
Rafer Alston71740.340.160.190.43-35-814.117.2-3.1014.115.4-1.24
Tracy McGrady82850.330.170.160.45-46-1014.915.4-0.5214.812.32.50
Luis Scola45460.260.240.030.65-1315-2815.614.41.2014.814.10.65
Carl Landry45450.260.240.03-0.009-71613.815.9-2.1214.414.4-0.02
Luther Head21210.230.27-0.05-0.018-61415.114.90.1714.414.4-0.01
Charles Hayes41430.150.35-0.20-0.098-61415.414.60.7513.215.4-2.12
Aaron Brooks45460.140.36-0.22-0.036-41015.914.11.8213.715.1-1.34

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Watson39370.20-0.700.890.113-5813.215.2-2.0316.114.21.86
Robert Swift20200.16-0.660.81-0.119-112014.314.5-0.1716.314.61.69
Nenad Krstic4647-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-64-1015.014.01.0215.214.80.41
Jeff Green5758-0.20-0.300.09-0.5813-152815.413.22.2016.412.73.70
Kyle Weaver4643-0.21-0.290.080.14-1210-2214.214.6-0.4113.316.3-2.98
Joe Smith5148-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-2213.815.1-1.2614.915.0-0.04
Kevin Durant8280-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.44-1-1014.514.10.3814.815.9-1.12
Nick Collison7775-0.580.08-0.66-0.43-53-814.215.1-0.9014.516.6-2.17
Russell Westbrook7777-0.870.37-1.24-0.55-119-2014.713.41.3814.417.0-2.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 91, POR 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.55,0.23,0.16,092.0%
PHI 93, DAL 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.22,0.15,091.9%
DET 110, CHH 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.23,0.27,091.8%