NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	10.3 [41]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +32.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	80		Comeback	1.8 [360]		LVP	John Salmons (PHI): -42.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.06,0.32	-0.03	0.35	-0.00	19	52%	0.56	4	-0.24	4	75%	-0.06
Larry Hughes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	51%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Steve Blake	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	70%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	6	43%	-0.06	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Mitchell Butler	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	2	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26	-0.06	-0.20	0.00	6	25%	-0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,-0.06,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-0.00	18	39%	-0.06	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.35	-0.35	-0.02	-0.33	-0.01	20	53%	-0.14	3	-0.21	5	40%	-0.13
John Salmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.09,-0.02,-0.12,-0.29,-0.42	-0.42	-0.11	-0.32	-0.00	14	39%	-0.11	4	-0.32	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	29.4	15.7	22.8	2.5	33.3	128.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +57.1%

PHI -7.0%

WAS +8.3%

PHI -1.4%

PHI -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	18.3	15.7	98.8	95.2	100.5
season	15.2	16.2		96.4	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.3		99.5	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	14.3	20.4	15.2	16.0
PHI	20.6	20.9	18.4	14.2	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	57	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-3	9	16.0	15.9	0.18	18.8	17.3	1.54
Gilbert Arenas	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-2	7	16.2	14.2	1.91	18.3	18.1	0.22
Steve Blake	8	10	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	2	-1	14.2	16.2	-1.91	16.3	18.6	-2.28
Juan Dixon	27	29	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	3	-3	15.9	16.0	-0.18	16.7	19.2	-2.47
Etan Thomas	39	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	7	-11	14.7	17.0	-2.30	15.6	20.9	-5.23
Brendan Haywood	48	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	-5	13	16.6	15.2	1.37	21.3	14.5	6.74
Jarvis Hayes	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	1	1	16.2	15.7	0.48	17.9	18.7	-0.81
Jared Jeffries	73	73	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	2	-1	16.1	15.3	0.81	18.6	16.5	2.13
Jerry Stackhouse	41	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	5	-7	15.9	16.1	-0.19	19.5	17.2	2.29
Mitchell Butler	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	5	-7	16.7	15.9	0.77	12.7	18.9	-6.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	77	78	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-6	9	18.1	20.3	-2.16	16.2	13.3	2.85
Zendon Hamilton	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-2	1	18.7	18.1	0.56	14.9	16.6	-1.73
Kyle Korver	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	23.2	17.9	5.23	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Aaron McKie	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	0	-3	19.4	17.0	2.44	17.0	14.8	2.11
Greg Buckner	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-4	5	18.4	18.2	0.17	15.8	16.1	-0.22
Willie Green	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-4	5	16.8	20.3	-3.49	14.6	17.8	-3.23
John Salmons	64	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	1	-5	17.6	20.6	-3.01	16.4	14.5	1.87
Samuel Dalembert	60	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	1	-5	18.7	17.4	1.25	16.3	15.3	0.99
Eric Snow	59	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.51	-6	3	-9	18.6	17.7	0.90	16.1	15.8	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.55,0.72,0.57,0.26,0	91.8%
CLE 82, VAN 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.27,0	91.4%
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	91.0%