NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	82		Excitement	7.9 [254]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): +2.6%
Vancouver Grizzlies	80		Comeback	1.6 [650]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -21.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.11,0.03	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	19	56%	0.18	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.01
Mark Hendrickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	54%	0.07	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Cedric Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Andrew DeClercq	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	18	42%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	9	35%	-0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	21	51%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	72%	0.11	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.02
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	21%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	-0.14	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	9	44%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	10	48%	-0.05	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.03	0.01	11	28%	-0.12	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.7	29.9	13.0	23.1	0.1	36.8	128.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +6.3%

VAN -2.7%

CLE +19.6%

CLE +20.7%

CLE +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	VAN	NBA	CLE	VAN	NBA
this game	13.9	15.5	15.2	84.5	80.8	101.7
season	14.1	15.9		98.0	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.9	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	11.5	12.6	16.4	15.8	13.9
VAN	15.2	14.5	15.7	16.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	71	71	0.81	-0.32	1.13	0.52	10	-8	18	12.9	16.6	-3.74	15.6	15.2	0.34
Bob Sura	80	82	0.73	-0.24	0.97	0.44	10	-8	18	13.1	17.3	-4.14	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Shawn Kemp	64	63	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	13.7	14.2	-0.55	16.0	14.7	1.30
Mark Bryant	57	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-5	12	15.1	12.1	2.98	15.8	15.1	0.68
Andre Miller	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	1	0	15.7	12.4	3.36	16.4	14.8	1.63
Brevin Knight	71	73	0.03	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	9	-16	13.6	14.7	-1.17	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Andrew DeClercq	50	53	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	14.1	13.7	0.42	15.6	15.3	0.27
Mark Hendrickson	17	19	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	7	-12	10.8	14.5	-3.77	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Cedric Henderson	32	33	-0.27	0.76	-1.03	0.05	-11	13	-24	15.6	13.0	2.61	14.4	16.1	-1.70

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	42	42	0.19	-0.68	0.87	-0.05	8	-10	18	15.1	15.8	-0.74	14.1	13.7	0.43
Doug West	42	41	0.02	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-9	16	15.2	15.7	-0.53	15.1	13.0	2.07
Milt Palacio	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-9	16	16.4	15.2	1.26	17.6	12.5	5.11
Dennis Scott	40	41	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-6	10	15.5	15.5	0.01	15.3	12.8	2.54
Antoine Carr	14	13	-0.17	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	6	-14	15.2	15.5	-0.33	10.5	14.4	-3.85
Grant Long	56	53	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.28	0	-2	2	16.1	14.7	1.41	15.4	12.0	3.35
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	67	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	1	-4	15.4	15.8	-0.45	13.2	15.5	-2.30
Mike Bibby	66	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	5	-12	15.0	16.5	-1.48	12.1	17.2	-5.13
Michael Dickerson	72	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.27	-11	9	-20	15.7	14.9	0.83	13.3	15.4	-2.17
Othella Harrington	69	69	-0.68	0.19	-0.87	-0.48	-7	5	-12	15.5	15.4	0.09	13.1	15.7	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.68,0.28,0.33,0.28,0	93.2%
NOH 104, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.18,0	93.1%
CHA 96, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.32,0.16,0	92.6%