inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 104 Excitement7.7 [294] MVPChris Paul (NOH): +35.5%
Los Angeles Clippers 98 Comeback1.6 [690] LVPChris Kaman (LAC): -14.2%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.360,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.25,0.360.120.250.011971%0.514-0.164100%0.04
Julian Wright0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.011362%0.172-0.05367%0.00
Devin Brown0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.000.10-0.01853%0.142-0.04333%-0.03
Sean Marks0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.00183%0.0700.00475%0.00
Rasual Butler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.040.02960%0.0100.002100%0.00
Hilton Armstrong-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00475%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
David West-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.012044%-0.021-0.023100%0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Gordon0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.16,0.160.160.070.10-0.001866%0.284-0.12250%-0.07
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.090.090.090.010.021563%0.183-0.09887%0.02
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.02-0.01762%0.062-0.062100%0.01
Baron Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.00972%0.136-0.1900%0.00
Mike Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00731%-0.082-0.05250%-0.02
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.040.001250%0.026-0.1600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.828.015.624.42.434.3130.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +14.2%
NOH +9.9%
LAC -11.5%
NOH +33.1%
NOH +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHLACNBANOHLACNBA
this game14.815.315.5108.3103.2106.4
season16.615.7105.9100.7
opponent15.115.6109.8106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.313.816.014.514.8
LAC15.313.817.514.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler78770.59-0.090.680.339-31214.516.4-1.9115.813.32.46
Devin Brown40400.57-0.070.630.1913-72013.815.6-1.7715.315.3-0.05
David West86850.56-0.060.620.3860614.814.70.1515.513.61.93
Julian Wright70690.52-0.020.550.2310-41414.815.0-0.1815.714.31.40
Chris Paul83820.470.030.430.3251414.616.6-2.0615.514.11.45
Morris Peterson12130.010.49-0.49-0.0215-416.914.52.3814.115.5-1.45
Sean Marks3938-0.010.51-0.520.08-39-1215.414.40.9715.415.20.20
Hilton Armstrong4747-0.020.52-0.540.07-39-1215.714.01.6215.015.6-0.56
Antonio Daniels2524-0.180.68-0.870.05-814-2215.214.70.4412.416.3-3.89

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Kaman69700.12-0.620.73-0.097-132014.916.4-1.5115.612.72.88
Mike Taylor4646-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-6614.116.5-2.4414.415.2-0.77
Steve Novak1817-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-6614.515.5-1.0213.615.1-1.44
Brian Skinner2423-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-4215.115.4-0.3314.115.1-0.98
Baron Davis7477-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.24-82-1015.514.80.6615.113.81.24
Zach Randolph7880-0.500.00-0.50-0.35-5-1-415.813.22.5515.014.20.78
Fred Jones8585-0.660.16-0.81-0.28-137-2015.811.74.0514.815.4-0.60
Eric Gordon8182-0.660.16-0.81-0.39-93-1215.613.62.0614.616.4-1.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.18,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 82, VAN 800.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.27,093.1%
ATL 114, ORL 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.26,092.2%
WAS 83, IND 780.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.16,092.1%